Fantasy Football: 5 Bounce-Back Candidates for 2018
T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts
For the first time since 2012 -- his rookie season, T.Y. Hilton failed to reach 1,000 receiving yards in 2017. Still, the 109 targets he saw were good for a team high, but were still the second-lowest of his career.
Hilton's per-target efficiency was up and down, too. Of the 27 wide receivers to have seen at least 100 targets, his 0.17 Target NEP per target came in at 21st. It was also a career low for him.
He performed slightly better when he actually caught the ball though. He had the ninth-highest Reception NEP per target, at 0.77, and he should be in line for a slightly higher workload in 2018, with the Indianapolis Colts having 151 available targets following their offseason departures.
Hilton's best bet of returning to the form that saw him finish as the WR5 in 2016 rests with the form and fitness of his quarterback, Andrew Luck. Since 2013, Hilton has averaged 5.3 receptions for 82.4 yards and 16.0 PPR points in games in which Luck has played. In the 26 games without Luck, these numbers drop to 3.7, 61.38 and 11.3, respectively. If Luck can stay healthy, Hilton could easily surpass his current ADP (WR28).