Fantasy Football: 10 Undervalued Players in Best-Ball Leagues
Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans
ADP: 65th overall, RB27
Lamar Miller's current ADP means he's being drafted behind the likes of Carlos Hyde, Jay Ajayi, and Tevin Coleman. Not to say the latter group all have less upside than Miller, but all three appear to be stuck in full-blown committees and remain an injury or two away from receiving a full workload. Miller, on the other hand, played 68.78% of Houston Texans' offensive snaps and accounted for 53.1% of their carries last year.
More importantly, Miller was in on 75.6% of Houston's snaps and averaged 17 carries, 3.1 targets, and 15.3 fantasy points in Deshaun Watson's six starts, and he likely would have produced more had he not split reps with D'Onta Foreman in the second half of a blowout win against Cleveland. Without Watson from Week 9 on, Miller's marks plummeted to a 60.8% snap rate, 13.2 carries, 2.3 targets, and 9.8 fantasy points.
It's also worth noting Houston's change in offensive approach with Watson under center. The Texans had one of the most balanced and efficient offenses in the league with Watson at the helm, averaging a 50% run rate in addition to their 56% run rate in the red zone. Without Watson available in the final nine games, Houston averaged a 60% pass rate and the league's second-highest pass rate (66%) inside the red zone.
Of course, Foreman could steal away work once he's healthy. While early reports say Foreman is aiming to be ready for camp, an Achilles injury isn't one that backs usually come back quickly from, so stay up to date on his health this offseason.
Regardless of Foreman's timetable, Miller has the potential to be a great value pick at this cost as Houston should have a top-shelf attack if Watson returns to his old self.