Fantasy Football: 4 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Wild Card Weekend

Start Travis Kelce as a Favorite

This week, let's start off by picking the top tight end on the weekend slate. Picking Travis Kelce is pretty bold, huh?

The Kansas City Chiefs are 9-point favorites against the Tennessee Titans -- tied with Jacksonville as the largest favorites of the weekend.

The Chiefs' offense will likely be popular this weekend and for good reason. And Kelce is a major part of their offense -- he's produced especially well as a favorite over the past two seasons.

Per the Rotoviz Game Splits App, his average of 12.51 half-PPR points per game as a favorite is about two points higher than his average as an underdog. Better yet, this average increases when Kansas City is favored by a touchdown or more.

The line has risen in this game, which reflects well on the Chiefs. Bookmaker, a popular online sportsbook, opened this game with the Chiefs favored by 7 points -- that has since risen to 9 points.

Kelce is priced at $7,700 on FanDuel, making him the most expensive player at the tight end position. His price is high, but he packs the highest upside at the position with Rob Gronkowski on a bye. Kelce is worth a start in all formats.