Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 6

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Start Devonta Freeman as a Heavy Favorite

Week 6 is chock full of heavy favorites. There are five teams favored by nine or more points this weekend.

In general, we look to target running backs on teams that are expected to win. This weekend, the Atlanta Falcons are favored by 13 points at home versus the Miami Dolphins. The ATLiens are the largest favorites of the weekend and also carry the highest implied total of 30.00 points.

All of this should lead to great success (Borat voice) for Devonta Freeman.

According to the Rotoviz Game Splits App, Freeman has been terrific when the Falcons are favored. In this situation, he has averaged 15.47 half-PPR points per game. If you look at games where the Falcons were favored by seven or more, he has averaged an astounding 22.67 half-PPR points.

Freeman is priced at $8,500 on FanDuel, which ranks fourth among running backs. While he is expensive, he is $800 cheaper than top option Kareem Hunt while still carrying that top running back upside. Freeman is a safe play for both cash games and tournaments.