Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 3

Start Kirk Cousins in a Game With a High Over/Under

Kirk Cousins is off to a relatively quiet start this season but his breakout game should be coming on Sunday. The Washington Redskins are three-point home underdogs on Sunday Night Football versus the Oakland Raiders.

Usually, we like to target quarterbacks who are favored to win because they generally score more points. This game is a bit different because of its very high over/under. The total in this game is currently set at 54.5 points. This total should mean fantasy goodness for Cousins and his opposing quarterback in Derek Carr.

While Carr is shaping up to be an ideal quarterback target on FanDuel, you really have to pay for him. He is priced at $8,400 which ranks fourth among quarterbacks. I prefer Cousins at his price of $7,600 which is 12th at the position.

How has Cousins performed games with a total of 54.5 points or higher? I'm afraid I cannot share that information with you.

But seriously, I can't. He has never played in a game with this high of a total according to the Rotoviz Game Splits App. However, we have a small sample size of games played with a total of 49 or higher. In those nine games, Cousins has averaged a whopping 27.38 half-PPR points per game. Ooh-wee!

That over/under is easily the highest of the weekend slate. The game opened at 53 points, so this rising total -- along with Cousins' history in these projected shootouts -- makes him a safe play with top-five upside.