NFL

5 Wide Receivers With a Significant Drop in Production in 2016

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Ted Ginn Jr., Carolina Panthersā€‹

In Week 1 of the 2015 season, it looked like Ted Ginn Jr. was up to his same old self, dropping passes that should have otherwise been caught for touchdowns.

However, he proved everyone wrong by going on to score a career-high 10 touchdowns while becoming a key offensive piece in helping the Carolina Panthers reach Super Bowl 50.

Considering Ginn Jr. did this in 2015 with an abysmal catch rate of 45.36%, there was hope that if he were to improve in this department, he could sustain this production if given the opportunity again.

He did improve his catch rate to 56.84% this past season, but still below the league average, which was 60.63%. Even though his production in terms of yardage was replicated, he couldn't find the end zone nearly as often as the year before.

Category 2015 2016
Receptions 44 54
Catch Rate 45.36% 56.84%
Reception NEP per Target (Rank) 0.80 (T-13th) 0.63 (38th)
Reception Success Rate 93.18% 77.78%
Touchdowns 10 4


Ginn Jr.'s Reception Success Rate dropped significantly (from 9th-best to 11th-worst) -- a telling sign that 2015 may have been an outlier. In terms of touchdowns, he only matched 40% of last year's total, which in part was due to the return of Kelvin Benjamin, who caught 7 touchdowns in 2016.

He also dropped (pun intended) from 13th to 38th in Reception Net Expected Points (NEP) per Target this past season, and was basically non-existent in the red zone -- he had only one target (1.39% of Carolina's total) inside the 20-yard line, which was fewer than backup quarterback Joe Webb and wide receiver Brenton Bersin, who each had two.