Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 9

Start Andrew Luck as a Heavy Underdog

In Week 8, we rolled with Andrew Luck, and he fell flat in a game where his best weapon, T.Y. Hilton, got injured early and missed some snaps. The trends indicated that Luck had performed well in games as a home underdog.

This week, Luck and the Indianapolis Colts are currently 7.5-point underdogs on the road against the Green Bay Packers. We are going back to the well with Luck because his career trends point to him having a good game.

According to the Rotoviz Game Splits App, when Luck has been an underdog of 7 or more points, he has scored an average of 26.11 fantasy points per game. His career average in all games is 24.29.

To back up this trend further, since Luck joined the team in 2012, the Colts have gone over the game total in 60% of the games as road underdogs.

The total for Sunday's game is 54, the highest among all games on the slate. The game opened at 52.5 but has already risen 1.5 points.

Luck's price is still low on FanDuel. At $8,000, he is priced at sixth among quarterbacks and makes for a safe play with high upside in cash game formats.