College Football Daily Fantasy Sleepers for Saturday 9/26/15
We'd all love to fill our daily fantasy rosters with the Leonard Fournette and Trevone Boykins of the world, but much like a real life general manager, there comes a time to value shop.
The key to putting together a dominant DFS lineup lies in those bargain-basement deals sitting at the bottom of the roster bin. Backup running backs getting touches in a blowout? Check. Marginal quarterbacks facing porous defenses? Check. Big play threats with unreal yards per catch numbers? Oh, you better believe it.
Unearthing these fantasy gems isn't easy, but luckily our premium game predictions shine a light on who may be flying so far under the radar that they're clipping trees. Here's a look at the players who will make your FanDuel wallet happy in Week 4.
Early Slate - Thomas Sirk, Duke ($6,800)
Dual-threat quarterbacks are fantasy gold. Sirk is both the Blue Devils' leading passer and rusher through three games, representing 64% of Duke's offense. David Cutcliff's one-man band should find the sledding pretty easy against the Yellow Jackets defense on Saturday. Georgia Tech was gouged by Notre Dame last week, surrounding over 200 yards on the ground and 30 points on the scoreboard. Our prediction is calling for Duke’s offense to eclipse 200 yards through the air and on the ground, which could spell a huge day for this undervalued asset.
Late Slate - Kendal Thompson, Utah ($5,600)
Thompson took over for the Utes’ oft-injured starter Travis Wilson in Week 2 after the senior went down with a shoulder injury during their Beehive battle with in-state rival Utah State. Utah’s passing offense -- to be kind -- has been a work in progress this season, checking in at 107th in the nation. The good news is that Oregon’s pass defense is even worse, allowing 316 yards per game through the air (117th). But the real reason to like Thompson is buried in our game prediction. We like Utah to rack up 140 yards on the ground, which means that Thompson should have plenty of opportunities to tote the rock. Last season, Oregon focused on Utah’s star running back Devontae Booker, holding him to just 65 yards. If they employ that strategy again, Thompson, a skilled runner, could burn the Ducks on read plays all game.
Value Running Backs
Early Slate - Derrius Guice, LSU ($4,500)
Syracuse will have to turn to a backup quarterback this week now that their starter Eric Dungey has been ruled out due to a concussion. For that reason we predict that the Orange will fail to reach two touchdowns, which could spell a blowout in the Carrier Dome. Les Miles has always been a firm believer in using multiple backs, even when he has a true superstar in his backfield. Another consideration is the workload for Leonard Fournette. The New Orleans native has touched it 48 times through two games and if this game is clearly in hand, the Tigers’ coaching staff may be inclined to give their workhorse a break. Guice is perfectly situated to benefit from those extra touches. The four-star freshman has already shown great burst, topping nine yards per carry last week against Auburn. His price tag is so low that if he picks up a garbage time touchdown, he’ll be an outright steal.
Late Slate - Ronald Jones II, USC ($5,000)
RoJo is currently in a time share with Tre Madden, but Madden is nursing a calf injury. Jones II has been a big-play machine thus far, nearly reaching 10 yards per carry. Last week’s stat line (6-19-0) has brought his FanDuel price tag down, but USC completely abandoned the run against Stanford after falling behind by ten in the fourth quarter. Our prediction is calling for a tighter game and for the Trojans to run up over 400 yards of total offense. With Madden unlikely to receive the lion's share of the touches and a Sun Devil defense that’s surrendering over 200 yards per game on the ground, RoJo is a great play.
Value Wide Receivers
Early Slate - Shelton Gibson, West Virginia ($5,300)
Our computer model loves the Mountaineer passing attack. The 273 passing yard prediction is one of the highest of the week in matchups between two power schools. Moreover, the Terps defense is still reeling from allowing 491 yards through the air two weeks ago against Bowling Green. Gibson will have every opportunity to torch Maryland. In two games, the sophomore burner has 211 receiving yards and a pair of touchdowns. He’s averaging 35 yards per catch, which is downright silly. We have WVU pegged for 38 points, and it’s a safe bet that Gibson will be involved in at least one of their touchdowns.
Late Slate - Tim White, Arizona State ($4,500)
Devin Lucien may be on the shelf for the Sun Devils home game against Southern Cal, which should open the door for White’s targets to increase. Todd Graham has incorporated White in both the passing and running game over the last two weeks. Over those two games, White has 160 all-purpose yards and two touchdowns. His price tag would indicate that he’s a pure reserve, but if Lucien is indeed ruled out for this contest, White will be on the field throughout the game for ASU. Our prediction calls for shootout in the desert and over 400 yards for Arizona State in particular.
Value Tight End
Early Slate - Cam Serigne, Wake Forest ($2,500)
This is a pure talent play, as Serigne is capable of much more than he has shown thus far in 2015. Last season, he snagged 54 passes and 5 touchdowns, but this year’s volatility under center for the Demon Deacons has hurt his numbers. Indiana has already been involved in some shootouts this season, and our predictions are leaning in that direction again this week. Getting that elusive tight end touchdown will separate this from a good or great play, but at this price it’s a no-brainer.
Late Slate - Siale Fakailoatonga, Utah ($2,600)
He’s more than a fun name to say, but just to be clear, it’s see-ah-lay fah-kah-ee-loa-tonga. Now that we have that out of the way, let’s talk turkey. He’s a traditional tight end who excels in play action situations, and as I mentioned at the top, Oregon will be stacking the box to corral Devontae Booker. Without a dominant number one receive, our prediction of 200 passing yards should be enough to get the big fella involved in the aerial elements of their game plan.