College Football Betting Guide: Tuesday 12/21/21

numberFire has built comprehensive algorithms to pinpoint the bets with the highest probability of returning money, whether you are betting on the total, the spread, or the moneyline.

For those new to numberFire, we use a five-star system to show which bets you should be targeting for any given game. Stars represent how much you should risk on a wager relative to what you would normally bet.

For example, if you would normally bet $110 to win $100 on a -110 spread wager, if we give a 3-star ranking, we suggest risking three times that amount: $330 to win $300. Here are the best bets for this weekend with guidance from our model. All advanced statistics are courtesy of the S&P individual team statistical profiles, except where noted.

Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. Please check here to make sure you're seeing the most updated information.

Kent State vs. Wyoming

Over 59.0: 1 Star out of 5

Kent State finished this season as the MAC runner-up with a 7-6 record overall, and they were led by a strong offense and mediocre defense. The Golden Flash averaged 32.62 points per game this year while conceding 35.08. They conceded 37 or more points in 8 of their 13 games.

Wyoming had a 6-6 regular season, and they had a lot of success against the MAC in their non-conference schedule. The Cowboys defeated MAC champions Northern Illinois, 50-43, and they topped Ball State, 45-12.

Our model projects both teams to have success offensively and projects Wyoming to win 32.22-28.10. This puts us at 60.32 total points, and we give the over a 53.3% likelihood of hitting.

UTSA vs San Diego State

Over 48.5: 2 Stars out of 5

Texas-San Antonio and San Diego State both had fantastic seasons this year -- with UTSA finishing 12-1 and winning Conference USA, while San Diego State went 11-2.

UTSA had a fantastic offensive team, scoring 37.08 points per game. The Roadrunners scored at least 44 points six times, but they will face a very good San Diego State defense. The Aztecs were built mostly around their D this season, conceding just 19.46 points per game. This will be an exciting matchup between clashing styles.

Our numbers like the over at the listed line of 48.5 points. We project an SDSU victory by a final score of 26.78-24.52. We think the over wins out 59.71% of the time, making this a two-star bet.