College Football Betting Guide: Friday 11/22/19

numberFire has built comprehensive algorithms to pinpoint the bets with the highest probability of returning money, whether you are betting on the total, the spread, or the moneyline. For those new to numberFire, we use a five-star system to show which bets you should be targeting for any given game. Stars represent how much you should risk on a wager relative to what you would normally bet.

For example, if you would normally bet $110 to win $100 on a -110 spread wager, if we give a 3-star ranking, we suggest risking three times that amount: $330 to win $300. Here are the best bets for this weekend with guidance from our model. All advanced statistics are courtesy of the S&P individual team statistical profiles, except where noted.

Please note that lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. Please check here to make sure you're seeing the most updated information.

Wyoming vs. Colorado State

Wyoming -6.5: 3 Stars out of 5

Wyoming is off to a 6-4 start this season, and they have been particularly dominant in their home games. The Cowboys are 5-0 on their home turf, including a win over Power 5 Missouri. They have won their home games this season by an average of slightly more than 17 points, and they should be expected to cover the spread of less than one touchdown against Colorado State.

On the other side, Colorado State has been mostly disappointing this season with a mediocre 4-6 record. Five of their six losses have come by double digits, so they have not been keeping games close when they are on the losing end.

Our projections predict Wyoming to win by 10.68 points, and we give them a 62.32% chance to cover the spread of 6.5. Ultimately, this makes the Cowboys to cover a three-star bet, and it is a worthwhile gamble for Friday since it is the only game on the table.

Over 50.5 total points: 2 Stars out of 5

This game is going to be a matchup of contrasting styles. Wyoming has had only two of their 10 games finish with a game total higher than 50.5 points, while Colorado State has had nine of their 10 games finish over that same total.

Wyoming is averaging 26.9 points per game, and Colorado State is conceding an average of 32.6 points per game. Our projections predict Wyoming will finish on the high end of that total with 32.38 points. This means 20 points from Colorado State would be more than enough to push the game total over the 50.5 line, and the Rams have scored at least 21 points in every single game but one so far this season.

Our projections give Colorado State 21.7 points in this game, making our game total projection 54.08 points. This is almost four points above the listed number, and we give a 61.28% likelihood of the over hitting in this matchup, making this a two-star bet for Friday.