I'm having déjà vu.

Just an hour ago, I wrote about a fall out of his chair.

I can't even make this stuff up, guys.

It was obviously a big upset, but actually not one as big as the UAB victory we saw earlier in the day.

We have a metric at numberFire appropriately called nERD, which measures how many points we'd expect a team to win by against an average squad on a neutral court. Georgia State's was a respectable -- for an automatic bid -- 5.91 this year, which ranked 50th among tournament teams.

Baylor's was 15.21, slightly better than Iowa State's (by 0.1 points), and the 13th-best mark in the country. In a random game, from a high level, we'd expect Baylor to beat Georgia State by 9.3 points.

And that probably would've happened if not for an epic collapse. According to numberFire Live, our real-time analytics platform, Baylor had 99.66% odds of winning the contest with 2:39 left to go.

That's why they call it March Madness.