March Madness: Previewing Thursday’s Sweet 16 Matchups
Michigan (7) vs. Oregon (3)
Michigan has been one of the hottest teams in the country. Coming off of victories against Oklahoma State and Louisville, the Wolverines will face Oregon in the Sweet 16.
Oregon lost of their best players, Chris Boucher, to an ACL tear during the conference tournament. The Ducks beat Iona and Rhode Island on the opening week of the big dance, surviving a scare from the Rams, 75-72.
Michigan looks to shoot the three often, taking a shot from deep on 44.9% of their field goal attempts, which is the highest three-point attempt rate left in the tournament.
Our metrics give the Ducks a 54% chance to beat the Wolverines. Vegas, however, has Michigan favored by 1.5 points.
Below are three players to keep an eye on from each team.
| Player | Team | PPG | RPG | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks | Oregon | 16.4 | 3.1 | 0.574 |
| Tyler Dorsey | Oregon | 14.0 | 3.4 | 0.566 |
| Jordan Bell | Oregon | 10.8 | 8.3 | 0.632 |
| Derrick Walton | Michigan | 15.4 | 4.8 | 0.556 |
| Zak Irvin | Michigan | 12.9 | 4.4 | 0.512 |
| Moritz Wagner | Michigan | 12.2 | 4.1 | 0.647 |
Here is a quick breakdown of the team stats comparison.
| School | nERD | O Rtg | eFG% | Reb% | TOV% | D Rtg | Opp eFG% | Opp TOV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #3 Oregon | 16.29 | 114.8 | 0.557 | 53.0 | 14.7 | 94.9 | 0.464 | 17.0 |
| #7 Michigan | 14.75 | 116.6 | 0.571 | 47.9 | 12.9 | 102.8 | 0.519 | 17.3 |
