3 Daily Fantasy Basketball Players to Avoid on 3/3/16
Finding players you want to roster is a lot easier than finding players to avoid. Here are three players based on their price and matchups that could be landmines for your rosters tonight.
You can find a ton of great information and research on guys you might want to include in your DFS NBA lineups tonight, but what about some guys you may want to lessen your exposure to, or even fade altogether?
Avoiding players whose matchups or situations aren't as great as they seem can often be just as important as finding the best targets each night. After all, it takes only one player to sink a lineup.
With a small slate of NBA games on tonight, searching for the landmines could mean the difference from winning or losing your contests.
Rajon Rondo, PG, Sacramento Kings
FanDuel Price: $9,000
If there were any questions at the beginning of the season as to whether or not Rajon Rondo still had it after a disastrous season in Dallas, they should be answered by now -- statistically, at least. Rondo is leading the league in assists, and while his efficiency numbers haven’t been great, Rondo is back to being one of the best fantasy point guards in the NBA.
However, at his price tag of $9,000 -- even against those Dallas Mavericks in a revenge game -- you should probably be careful rostering Rondo tonight. While the extra motivation is there for him to have a big game, the Mavericks rank as the 11th best team at defending point guards this season, giving up only 0.86 FanDuel points per minute to the position.
While Rondo sat out the most recent meeting with the Mavs, Rondo scored the ball pretty well in their first matchup but ended with only 5 assists and just over 30 FanDuel points. We have Rondo projected for 12 points, 10.9 assists and 6.3 rebounds tonight against the Mavericks, but even that would not be enough to get to the 40-FanDuel point mark that you need for Rondo to pay off his very high salary.
Andrew Bogut, C, Golden State Warriors
FanDuel Price: $4,800
With Festus Ezeli out for the last month, Andrew Bogut has stepped up nicely for the Warriors, but tonight against the Thunder could be a tough matchup for the Warriors’ seven-footer. In their previous meetings with one another, Bogut has played a very limited role. In their two games against the Thunder, Bogut is averaging fewer than 20 minutes per game and fewer than 10 FanDuel points per game.
In both games, Ezeli was out already, but with the addition of Anderson Varejao to the roster, that gives the Warriors more of a mobile big man who can still pass the ball well and help some on defense, too. Varejao's playing some could keep Bogut’s minutes down low enough to where he could be a landmine waiting to happen.
Oklahoma City ranks as the fifth best team in the league against opposing centers, giving up only 0.9 FanDuel points per minute to the position. On top of that, Steven Adams has proven himself as one of the better defensive big men in the NBA this season, giving up an incredible 42.5 percent from the floor to players he is defending, when the league average is just over 47 percent. All of his considered, it might be wise to lay off Bogut tonight.
Devin Booker, SG, Phoenix Suns
FanDuel Price: $4,700
This rookie class just keeps getting deeper, and Devin Booker is a main reason. Booker has been very good for the Suns since their injuries forced him into heavy minutes, but tonight against the Heat, it may be a night where Booker is better left off your rosters. After shooting around 45 percent from the floor since taking over the starting shooting guard mark, the month of February was not kind to the 19 year-old from Kentucky. Booker shot only 33 percent from the floor in the month of February, and tonight in a tough matchup, expect his shooting slump to continue.
Dwyane Wade has the Heat ranked as the second best team in the league against shooting guards this season, giving up fewer than 0.7 FanDuel points per minute to the position. On top of that, Booker did have a pretty good game against the Heat once this season, but that was with Brandon Knight on the floor creating space. According to NBAWowy.com, with Knight and Eric Bledsoe off the court, Booker’s shooting percentage goes from 42.2 percent down to 38.2 percent.
Even though Booker’s price tag is still quite fair, we have him projected for only 16.5 FanDuel points tonight against the Heat. Even though Miami has been playing faster recently, against a sub-par opponent like the Suns, they may choose to slow the game down some and not play into Phoenix’s hands by playing faster. You might want to look elsewhere for shooting guards tonight.
To read all premium content, upgrade to a Premium account with numberFire
If you're not a Premium subscriber, it takes just a few seconds to sign up. You'll get access to all of our insider information, game projections, handicapping advice, DFS tools, advanced statistics, and more.