3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 4/12/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place live in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
DeMar DeRozan Over 21.5 Points (-120)
Down the stretch, Zach LaVine surpassed DeMar DeRozan in the usage pecking order for the Chicago Bulls, so I kind of get this low line for DDR's point total.
But it's too low.
DeRozan averaged 24.5 points per game this season. Even with the downtick in usage of late, he went for 22-plus points in three of his final six regular-season games, and he still had a 25.6% usage rate across the last 10 games. It's not like he's faded into the background.
Plus, he will likely see a boost in minutes tonight. In last year's playoffs, DDR averaged 40.6 minutes per night after playing 36.1 minutes per game in the regular season.
Our model projects DeRozan for 23.7 points on Wednesday.
Patrick Beverley Over 2.5 Assists (-140)
This is another over our model likes.
Patrick Beverley put up 3.5 assists per game over 22 outings with the Bulls -- up from the 2.6 per game he averaged in his time with the Los Angeles Lakers.
He's notched at least three assists in 11 of his past 17 games, including 3 of the past 4. Pat Bev played Toronto once this year as a member of the Bulls and recorded four assists in the game.
Our projections forecast Beverley for 3.3 assists.
Brandon Ingram Under 44.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-108)
Brandon Ingram ended the year on quite a run.
After the break, Ingram put up per-night averages of 27.3 points, 6.0 rebounds and 6.9 assists. Over the final six games, those numbers jumped to 28.8 points, 7.8 boards and 8.5 dimes. Dude was ballin', and he was carrying the New Orleans Pelicans
However, I think this line is a bit too high.
The Oklahoma City Thunder defense is pretty solid, ranking 12th in defensive rating over the final 15 games, and they're tough on small forwards. Over the last 30 games, OKC held small forwards to the second-fewest points per game (18.9) as well as roughly league-average marks in rebounds (7.6) and assists (3.9).
Our model loves this under, projecting for 25.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 6.8 assists -- a total of 38.9 PRA. I'm not quite that low on Ingram, but the under is the side I'll be on.
