3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 4/11/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place live in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
De'Andre Hunter Under 14.5 Points (-108)
De'Andre Hunter ended the regular season by scoring 14, 14 and 7 points over his final three games, and he put up only 13.9 points per night after the All-Star break. He logged a 19.7% usage rate this season, the second-lowest of his four-year career.
Hunter is up against the Miami Heat tonight. While the Heat have struggled versus small forwards this year, Miami finished the regular season ranked ninth in defensive rating, and the Heat (29th in pace) are a huge pace-down matchup for the Atlanta Hawks (6th).
Our model has Hunter netting 13.3 points in this one.
Bam Adebayo Under 9.5 Rebounds (-128)
The Hawks have done a nice job keeping opposing bigs off the glass, and that puts me on the under for Bam Adebayo's rebounding prop.
Over the past 15 games, Atlanta has limited the center position to the seventh-fewest rebounds per game (14.2), and they're sixth in rebound rate during that time.
Adebayo snagged 9.2 rebounds per game for the season, and that fell to just 7.1 per game after the break. He played the Hawks four times this campaign and totaled 9.5 rebounds per game over the four meetings. In last year's postseason, he averaged fewer rebounds per game (8.0) than he did in the regular season (10.1).
D'Angelo Russell Under 2.5 Made Threes (+104)
The Minnesota Timberwolves ended the year doing an excellent job of preventing three-point tries, leading me to this under on D'Angelo Russell's made threes prop.
Over the final 15 games, Minnesota allowed a 31.7% three-point attempt rate -- a league-low mark by 2.6 percentage points. The addition of Mike Conley probably had something to do with it, and Conley's defense helped Minnesota keep opposing point guards to just 2.1 made threes per game over the last 15, the second-fewest in that span.
Our projections have Russell going 2.7 for 7.3 today from beyond the arc. With a +104 price on the under and a -130 clip on the over, the under is the side I want to be on.
