5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on Monday 2/6/23
One of the keys to finding success in daily fantasy basketball is uncovering potential value plays.
If you're looking to roster a stud player or two, you need to consider squeezing one of these lower-salaried options into your lineup.
Tim Hardaway Jr., SG/SF, Dallas Mavericks
Jaden Hardy, SG, Dallas Mavericks
Hardaway Jr.'s FanDuel Salary: $5,200
Hardy's FanDuel Salary: $3,800
The Dallas Mavericks are going to be the go-to spot for value on Monday's daily fantasy basketball slate.
That opens up a lot of opportunity for numerous names on this roster. Frankly, just two choices is a bit light, but I don't want this article to be about only Dallas.
With Doncic, Dinwiddie, and Finney-Smith off the floor (and there are more, but we don't want to nuke the entire sample), Jaden Hardy leads the team with a 34.4% usage rate with a per-minute average of 0.95 FanDuel points over a 92.3-minute sample, according to RotoGrinders' CourtIQ.
Tim Hardaway Jr. is an obvious candidate for a featured role and a ton of minutes. He is projected for 34.9 minutes and 29.5 FanDuel points. The floor should be high, and the ceiling is elevated, too, because of the expanded opportunity.
Edmond Sumner, PG/SG, Brooklyn Nets
FanDuel Salary: $5,300
Speaking of that trade, the Brooklyn Nets will be a bit thin, too. And in their case, as well, it's more than just the pieces involved in the deal that they'll be missing.
With Durant, Irving, and Curry off the floor, we see a robust 22.4% usage rate and a per-minute output of 1.12 FanDuel points for Edmond Sumner over a nice 165.8-minute sample. It's hard to find fault with any of those numbers.
Sumner is projected for 33.5 minutes and 32.2 FanDuel points (6.07 per $1,000 in salary).
In 11 starts this season, Sumner has averaged 1.04 FanDuel points per minute. In his lone game with 30-plus minutes (which came on Saturday), he played 39.1 minutes and scored 39.9 FanDuel points.
Robert Williams, PF/C, Boston Celtics
FanDuel Salary: $5,200
Detroit sits 29th in defensive rating, and in games against teams in the bottom 10 defensively, Williams has averaged 1.26 FanDuel points per minute across eight such games. I can probably stop there because we're getting elevated minutes for an elite per-minute producer, but I'll dig a tinge deeper.
Detroit is also in the bottom 10 in rebounds per game allowed. Against other weak rebounding teams (i.e. bottom-10 teams), Williams has averaged a line of 9.1 points and 8.6 rebounds in only 23.8 minutes per game
His projected minutes boost (again, 29.0) should lead him close to a double-double. He's projected for 9.7 points and 9.2 rebounds.
Jalen Duren, C, Detroit Pistons
FanDuel Salary: $5,600
Opposite Williams in that game is Jalen Duren, whose salary over the past six games has spiked to $6,500 (which would have taken him out of value territory for my cutoff) before dropping $900 down to his salary for tonight at $5,600.
He's coming off of a 13.7-FanDuel-point outing thanks to just 2 shot attempts in 27.7 minutes. Other than that, he had a mostly viable 6-rebound, 3-assist, 1-block output.
Across a recent six-game sample (coinciding with his role increase), Duren has averaged 28.4 minutes, 12.0 points, 8.3 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 1.2 steals, and 1.5 blocks for 30.8 FanDuel points.
That includes a 53.5-fantasy-point outing against the Milwaukee Bucks, but even if we exclude that game, he's still averaging 26.2 FanDuel points over 27.9 minutes.
numberFire's model projects Duren for 5.60 FanDuel points per $1,000 -- a top-seven rate overall and a top-four rate excluding all Mavericks.