3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 1/3/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 12.5 Rebounds (-118)
Giannis Antetokounmpo has pulled down 20 and 22 rebounds over his past two games. He's gone for at least 13 boards in four of the past five games. But there are reasons to back the under tonight.
While Antetokounmpo has been a monster on the glass of late, he's unlikely to keep rebounding at that level. He's averaging 11.8 boards per night for the season, and prior to the past five games, he had pulled down 12 or fewer rebounds in five of the previous six outings.
There's also some blowout risk in this one as the Milwaukee Bucks are 8.5-point home favorites.
In all, our model projects Giannis for 12.5 rebounds on Tuesday -- right at this line. But I side with the under.
Jalen Williams Under 0.5 Made Threes (+112)
Boston is 7th in defensive rating and 16th in pace. It's a pace-down spot for the Oklahoma City Thunder, who are playing at the third-fastest pace. The Celtics also don't give up many three-point tries, holding opponents to the fourth-lowest three-point attempt rate (36.3%).
Williams isn't taking many threes as is, hoisting up just 2.9 three-pointers per night. He's making 30.5% from deep and only 0.8 per game.
On top of all that, OKC is a 9.0-point 'dog, so there's a chance they get blown out, which would likely result in fewer minutes for Williams.
We project Williams to make 0.9 threes on 2.9 attempts. With the under at +112 and the over at -142, the under is the side I want to be on.
De'Aaron Fox Over 25.5 Points (-115)
It's got a 242.5-point total and 3.0-point spread. Both squads are in the top 12 in pace. The player props in the game reflect this, with lines a tick or two above where we usually see them. However, I think there's some value on the over for De'Aaron Fox's points prop.
Utah is a nice matchup for him to have a good day in the scoring department. The Jazz are permitting the ninth-most points per game to point guards (26.2).
Fox has netted 26-plus points in three of his last five contests. One of the exceptions in that span was a game against the Jazz in which he had 24 points, but he was plagued by poor shooting in that one, going just 10 for 24 from the field (41.7%). He's a 49.9% shooter for the campaign.
Our model has Fox scoring 26.3 points tonight.