3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 11/18/22
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 4.5 Rebounds (-118)
Our model projects Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for 5.0 rebounds in 35.28 minutes of action in tonight's matchup.
Without Bane, the Grizzlies have a poor offensive rating of just 106.3 along with a three-point percentage of 32.7%. Their effective field goal percentage is only 50.3%, as well.
That means we should get a few more bricks and rebound opportunities for Gilgeous-Alexander.
Giannis Antetokoumpo Under 45.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-104)
A big driving force for the under here is the number of projected points (24.3) by numberFire for Giannis Antetokounmpo.
That's pretty low (his points prop is 29.5).
But it's not like the model doesn't like Giannis overall. He's projected for 11.1 rebounds (his prop is 11.5), and it actually thinks he'll outperform (6.0) his assists prop (5.5).
The scoring is just expected to be down against a well-rested Philadelphia 76ers defense. The 76ers haven't played since Sunday.
While we can go with the under on his points, the under odds are -122. So, if we go this points-rebounds-assists route, we have better odds.
Al Horford Over 2.5 Assists (-120)
He's projected for 3.5 helpers despite a season average of 2.4. He averaged 3.4 last year, and he likely should see better numbers soon.
Horford has generated only 0.08 assists per minute on the year, but he's been at 0.12 or higher in six straight seasons, including last year with the Celtics. The underlying data suggests an uptick.