FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Helper: Thursday 10/27/22
Since it's much simpler to predict than baseball or football, basketball daily fantasy would get plenty of votes as the best sport to play on FanDuel. Players usually stick to the same minutes and produce at roughly the same rate. Sounds easy, right?
Well, as a result, NBA daily fantasy is extremely reliant on a player's opportunity, so you'll need to make sure that you're up-to-date with key injuries. Our projections update up until tip-off to reflect current news, we have player news updates, and the FanDuel Scout app will send push notifications for pressing updates regarding your players.
With so much changing so quickly, we're here with plenty of tools to help you out. We have daily projections, a matchup heat map, a lineup optimizer, and a bunch of other great resources to help give you an edge.
We'll also be coming at you with this primer every day, breaking down a few of the day's top plays at each position.
Let's break down today's main slate on FanDuel.
The Slate and Key Injuries
|LA Clippers||Oklahoma City||217.5||112.0||105.5||19||5|
The Thunder will be without Josh Giddey (ankle) again as well.
If Hardaway Jr. remains out, there's absolutely nothing I can see stopping Luka Doncic ($12,000) on this slate.
The unrested Nets have the second-worst defensive rating in the NBA (119.8), and Doncic has a laughable 40.3% usage rate to start the year. The entire offensive system revolves around Doncic, who also adds 9.44 rebounds per 36 minutes. He and Giannis Antetokounmpo shouldn't be faded until further notice.
Ja Morant ($10,600) is certainly a viable alternative -- or lineup partner -- given he toasted those same Nets with Dillon Brooks ($5,000) back in the lineup for 62.3 FanDuel points. Morant just has more paths to failure given Desmond Bane ($7,400) can score, too. The Grizz are in Sacramento, and the Kings have the ninth-worst defensive rating (114.5) so far.
We got a definitive answer on Tuesday about the Clippers' backcourt. Reggie Jackson ($4,500) played 30 minutes to just 19 for John Wall ($5,700). Jackson is still the target -- at the lower salary -- if those minutes hold, but that's not a given since Wall (19.8 FanDuel points) outperformed Jackson (18.6) in limited duty.
The only other well-projected guard on numberFire is Spencer Dinwiddie ($5,000), who should see a boost without Hardaway, as well.
Usually, small forward stinks. It's actually pretty fun on this slate.
Kevin Durant ($9,700) wasn't horrible last night in Milwaukee, but his role was much better than the 45.7 FanDuel points he put forth. Durant shot just 43.8% from the field despite a gaudy 37.5% usage rate. He'll have better days with that role moving forward.
If we can get Paul George ($9,000) back in the lineup, his salary is tremendous. He's posted 1.39 FanDuel points per minute this year with Kawhi off the floor on a hearty 36.6% usage rate.
In a national television spot, Jimmy Butler ($8,100) might get extra work. He got 40 minutes against Boston in the Heat's last showcase. He's an interesting tournament pivot with upside below his median salary a year ago.
Rookie Keegan Murray ($5,200) returned over the weekend for the Kings, and he plummeted Harrison Barnes ($4,800) to just 21 minutes against Golden State. Murray will probably be the one full-time wing with Barnes and Kevin Huerter ($5,300) jockeying for playing time next to him. Malik Monk ($4,300) is another option for minutes.
Durant's teammate Ben Simmons ($5,800) posted 30.5 FanDuel points with just four real-life points last night. He fills so many categories well that his upside could be bananas should he drift into double-figure scoring at some point.
Norman Powell ($3,900) shot a frosty 30.0% from the field in 30 minutes as overwhelming chalk on Tuesday, and he might return to the bench on Thursday. He's still numberFire's top-projected value wing on this slate, joined by the aforementioned Dillon Brooks, Dorian Finney-Smith ($4,300), and Caleb Martin ($4,100).
I promise each and every one of you -- the monster Bam Adebayo ($7,000) game is coming.
Adebayo ran into a new issue last night against the Blazers -- foul trouble. He still posted 1.15 FanDuel points in 28 frustrating minutes. This salary mark is so far below last year's median -- with basically no changes to the Heat's frontcourt -- that I just know Bam will explode soon.
Domantas Sabonis ($9,000) is a fascinating top big on the slate. He posted an absurd 19 points and 14 rebounds in just 22 minutes last time out, sitting the entire fourth quarter. The concern is he won't be hyperproductive and his minutes disappear again, but both of those things were peculiar. I wouldn't blame anyone for looking elsewhere.
Both Nicolas Claxton ($6,700) and Ivica Zubac ($6,500) would be slam-dunk plays if guaranteed over 30 minutes, but neither are. Zubac, specifically, torched the Thunder on Tuesday with 14 boards. He's a bit safer than Claxton given Dallas' preference to play small.
Draymond Green ($6,100) isn't quite at 30 minutes yet, but his role has stabilized. I'm always down for the stat-stuffer in high-profile spots if his minutes are okay as they have been, logging at least 27 in three straight games.
Unfortunately, Santi Aldama ($5,300) has a fair salary, so the Santman isn't quite as appealing as he was on Monday. I'd sooner turn to teammate Steven Adams ($5,500), who is joined amongst numberFire's top-projected value big men by Kevon Looney ($4,800).
This position grouping is really poor outside of Bam today.