NBA
What Does the Goran Dragic Trade Do for the Miami Heat?
Miami got their point guard in Goran Dragic. What's that mean going forward?

It may have taken all but thirteen minutes of the trade deadline for a deal to happen, but the Phoenix Suns have sent point guard even my own just three days ago -- the Suns finally pulled the trigger and unloaded the dissatisfied Dragic, as well as his brother, According to Yahoo's Adrian Wojnarowski, the Heat give up nERD (our in-house metric used to estimate a team's ultimate winning percentage) of 39.1 was in the company of teams like the Jazz, Nuggets, Kings and Nets. That's not good!

Defensively, Miami's near the bottom of the league in numerous defensive categories. They allow their opponents to shoot 45.8% from the field and 36.2% from the three point line -- 22nd and 25th in the NBA -- while allowing an effective field goal percentage of 51% (26th). The Heat are also 30th in defensive rebounding and 25th in blocks -- so, it's not a coincidence that the Heat have earned a putrid Defensive Rating of 107.9, which is 24th out of the 30 NBA teams.

On the offensive side of things, the Heat have actually been worse. Their Offensive Rating of 103.6 is also among the bottom 10 teams in the league (23rd), as they score an abysmal 92.8 points per game -- better than just the Knicks and Sixers. (That's also not good...).

But, they have Wade and Bosh right? Well, kinda -- the big two have individual nERDs of -1.3 and 0.1, respectively.

Wade has missed 17 of Miami's 52 games thus far, including the last seven games due to a strained right hamstring. However, he looks to return to the court on Friday in New York. That might not matter much though -- Wade is shooting his worst percentage from the field (48.7%) since the 2009 season and is posting his worst Offensive Rating since 2007.

Chris Bosh, at 30 years old, is having an even worse season than the 33-year-old D-Wade. He may be averaging 21.1 points per game, but he hasn't been very efficient in doing so. Bosh is shooting 37.5% from three on nearly 4 attempts per game, but he's become too much of a perimeter player. From inside the arc, Bosh is shooting a paltry 48.5%, which is his worst since his second year in the league. Bosh's style of play has produced his worst Win Shares per 48 of his career, at .104.

It's clear that the Miami Heat needed help -- and they got it.

What Dragic Brings to Miami

Dragic will bring some much needed help to the Miami Heat -- but, it won't be on the defensive end of the floor.

The former Sun, in his eight years in the league, has a Defensive Box Plus/Minus of -1.2 and a total of just 7.8 Defensive Win Shares (fewer than 1.0 per year -- ahh). If that's not enough to prove a point, Dragic has earned a career Defensive Rating of 110 points per 100 possessions -- actually worse than the Heat's rating as a team. So, we should assume the Heat didn't make this move for defense.

On the other hand, they definitely added The Dragon to give their poor offense some much needed firepower. Dragic will be a huge upgrade from the Heat's most frequent starting point guard, our numbers confirm.

Before yesterday's trade, we projected Miami to finish the regular season with a record of 36-46, and therefore, we gave them a 44.4% chance of making the playoffs. However, even after adding Dragic and his offensive repertoire, we project the Heat to win just one more game and finish with 37 wins on the season. That one win is deceiving to the naked eye though.

The additional win gives the Heat nearly a 12% bump in their playoff chances, bringing them to 56.26% -- but, that's not just their own doing. The Indiana Pacers stayed pat at the deadline, which allowed the Heat to move past them in projected wins and playoff chances.

The Heat are also entering a favorable stretch in their schedule, as they are tied with Oklahoma City for the most home games remaining this season with 17. So look for the Miami Heat, who are currently in the eight spot in the East, to pick it up on the offensive end of the floor and improve upon their sub-.500 record as the season moves forward.

The Heat and their new Dragon should both benefit from their new relationship built upon the element of fire.

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