NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 4/15/22

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.

Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Trae Young Under 30.5 Points (-112)

Earlier this week for the play-in tourney, I wrote up the under on Kyrie Irving's points prop due to his matchup with a Cleveland Cavaliers defense that's been tough on point guards. I felt pretty silly watching Kyrie make every shot he took in the first half en route to netting 34 points and cashing the over by 5.5 points.

But it took a sparkling 12-for-15 shooting performance for Irving to get those 34 points, so I'm using the same logic today in backing Trae Young to go under on his points prop in that same matchup versus the Cavs.

In their final 15 regular-season games, the Cavaliers gave up only 22.4 points per game to floor generals, the 10th-fewest. For the season as a whole, Cleveland permitted 22.5 points per night to point guards, the eighth-fewest.

Cleveland's D got back Evan Mobley for the first play-in game, and there's a chance Jarrett Allen (questionable) returns tonight, which would give the Cavs two shot blockers inside to get in Young's way every time the Atlanta Hawks' star drives to the hoop. When Allen and Mobley play, the Cavs' D has been stellar as they were fourth in defensive rating prior to the All-Star break.

This is also a pace-down spot for Atlanta. The Hawks are 8th in pace over the last 15 games while the Cavs rank 26th.

Young has scored 31-plus points just once in his last five games, and our model projects him to get 29.3 points tonight.

Herbert Jones Under 0.5 Made Three-Pointers (+140)

The Los Angeles Clippers have been great at limiting three-point tries, and that puts me on the under Herbert Jones' made threes prop.

Over the last 15 games, the Clips have allowed a three-point attempt rate of just 35.5%, the lowest clip in the league. On top of that, LA has been playing lights-out D since Paul George returned, ranking first in defensive rating across the last five games.

Jones has hit at least one triple in six of his previous nine outings. However, he doesn't shoot many threes, taking more than four tries from deep just twice in that span.

With Jones facing a Clippers defense that is locked in and doesn't give up many three-point attempts, he shouldn't find many open looks from beyond the arc. We project him to make 0.8 threes on just 2.5 attempts. With the under at +140 and the over at -180, the under is the side to roll the dice on.