NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 4/13/22
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
De'Andre Hunter Over 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (+106)
This is a delightful matchup for De'Andre Hunter to reach the over on his made threes prop.
The Charlotte Hornets have surrendered a 42.6% three-point attempt rate over their last 15 games. That's the seventh-highest mark in that time. The Hornets are also allowing teams to make 38.8% of those three-point tries, the sixth-highest clip.
Hunter isn't a high-volume shooter from deep, but the matchup should help. Not only does Charlotte give up a lot of three-point attempts, but the Hornets are also bad on D overall, ranking 24th in defensive rating over their last 10 games. On top of that, the game environment boosts Hunter's chances, as well. This clash holds a 235.0-point total.
Hunter has been stroking it of late, making multiple treys in two of his past three games. He went four of seven from beyond the arc the last time these two teams met back on March 16th.
Our model projects Hunter to nail 1.5 threes on 4.1 tries -- dead even with this line. But with the over at +106 and the under priced at -136, the over is the side to be on.
Dejounte Murray to Record a Triple-Double (+370)
After missing a few games, Dejounte Murray returned to the San Antonio Spurs' lineup last Sunday and played 31 minutes while taking 15 shots, so he should be ready for a playoff-type workload today.
Murray flirts with a triple-double most nights, and our model expects him to do so in this matchup with the New Orleans Pelicans, pegging him for a total of 23.0 points, 7.9 rebounds and 9.1 assists. I think he's got a better shot to pull it off and get a triple-double than the +370 price on this prop indicates.
The matchup is a friendly one. Over the last 30 games, the Pelicans are allowing the 9th-most rebounds and the 10th-most assists to point guards.
Prior to missing time, Murray had double-digit rebounds in two of his last three games. He also had at least 10 dimes in two of three outings in that span, piecing together one triple-double -- against none other than the Pels. He also had a triple-double versus New Orleans back on December 12th, so he turned the trick twice in four matchups between these teams.
With the Spurs a 5.5-point road 'dog in a win-or-go-home game, Murray will likely play all the minutes he can handle, and I like rolling the dice on him to notch a triple-double.