NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Thursday 3/31/22

Player props are a fun way to bet the NBA without having to worry about the zaniness that last-minute injuries can cause in terms of a spread or a game total.

Here, we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools and simulations to help make some cash.

For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Note: Betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Kevin Durant Over 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (+108)

All year long, the Milwaukee Bucks have given up a lot of three-point tries. We've used that to our advantage a few times this season -- including Tuesday -- when it comes to prop bets, and we can do it again tonight.

For the campaign, the Bucks are giving up a 44.7% three-point attempt rate, the second-highest. Over the last 15 games, they're allowing a 42.1% three-point attempt rate, the seventh-highest.

Enter Kevin Durant.

KD has made four and three triples across his last two games, and most encouraging of all, he's jacked up 17 three-balls in that two-game stretch. He should get plenty of looks from deep tonight thanks to the matchup.

We project Durant to hit 2.7 threes on 6.6 tries. With Durant to go over 2.5 made threes priced at +108 -- compared to the under's price of -138 -- give me the over.

You can also take a gander at Seth Curry's made three-pointers prop. The line is 2.5, and we project him to hit 2.6 treys on 6.1 attempts. The over carries a +104 price while the under is listed at -132, so the over is once again the more sensible bet.

Trae Young Under 29.5 Points (-120)

Trae Young has at least 40 points in four of his previous nine games. Dude has been explosive of late. But he's got a difficult matchup today against the Cleveland Cavaliers.

The Cavs are holding point guards to 19.7 points per night over the last 15 games, the second-fewest in that span. That clip drops to 18.5 if we go back to just the last seven games.

While Young has blown up several times recently, he's also been held to 29 or fewer points four times in his past seven games -- with three of his four 40-point outbursts coming in pushover matchups versus the Indiana Pacers (twice) and Oklahoma City Thunder, two teams that aren't trying to win games.

In a tough spot against Cleveland, Young projects for 29.2 points, per our model.