3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 3/23/22

Player props are a fun way to bet the NBA without having to worry about the zaniness that last-minute injuries can cause in terms of a spread or a game total.

Here, we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools and simulations to help make some cash.

For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Note: Betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

LaMelo Ball Over 19.5 Points (-102)

Over the last 15 games, the New York Knicks are surrendering the fifth-most points per game to points guards (26.6), and they will have their hands full tonight versus LaMelo Ball.

Ball paces the Charlotte Hornets' regulars in usage rate (25.7%) across the last 10 games, and that bodes well for his chances to get to 20-plus points -- something he's done in four of his past eight games.

In a game with a 225.0-point total and 7.0-point spread, Ball should get his full workload, and our model projects him to net 20.4 points. You can also back Ball to go over 2.5 threes (-125) as we peg him to hit 2.9 triples.

Mike Conley Over 4.5 Assists (-122)

Mike Conley and the Utah Jazz have a rough matchup with the Boston Celtics, but our projections see value on the over on Conley's assists prop.

Boston is playing like one of the league's best teams. They are third in defensive rating and second in net rating over the last five games. The Celtics are good defensively versus pretty much every position. This line is just too low, though.

Conley has recorded at least five dimes in five of his last six games, amassing seven assists three times in that stretch. He tallied seven assists in 31.7 minutes versus Boston earlier this campaign.

Our numbers have Conley getting 5.9 assists, and the -122 price isn't too bad.

Kevin Porter Jr. Over 4.5 Rebounds (+124)

Kevin Porter Jr. has pulled down at least five boards in half of his past eight games, and he's going up against a Dallas Mavericks squad that is just 21st in rebound rate (48.4%) across the last five games.

KPJ plays some point for the Houston Rockets, and Dallas gives up 6.6 boards per game to floor generals, the fifth-most.

Our algorithm has Porter right at this line, forecasting him to snag 4.3 rebounds. With the over priced at +124 and the under at -152, I'd much rather roll the dice on Porter totaling at least five boards.