3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 3/15/22
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Mikal Bridges Over 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (+122)
Over the last 15 games, the New Orleans Pelicans are permitting the second-highest three-point attempt rate (43.1%), and that has me on the over for Mikal Bridges' made three-pointers prop.
Bridges has hit multiple threes in five of his last seven games, and he's a combined 6 for 15 from deep this year in three meetings with the Pels.
It also helps that this game boasts a juicy 231.0-point total and 4.5-point spread, which should make for a high-scoring game environment in which we get four quarters of the Phoenix Suns putting the pedal to the metal.
We project Bridges to make 2.0 threes tonight on 4.9 attempts.
Bam Adebayo Over 21.5 Points + Assists (-115)
Our model sees a lot of value here on Bam Adebayo in a matchup with the Detroit Pistons.
We're projecting Bam to record 19.4 points, getting him close to this line on points alone, and we forecast him to rack up 4.5 assists -- which amounts to 23.9 combined points and assists.
In his past two games, Adebayo has totaled 23 and 31 combined points and assists. Over their last 30 games, Detroit has surrendered an average of 22.7 points and 4.2 dimes to centers.
The big concern here is blowout risk as the Miami Heat are 13.0-point home favorites, but as long as Bam gets his usual minutes, the over looks like a sound bet.
Steven Adams Under 10.5 Rebounds (+106)
While Steven Adams is coming off a massive 16-board game against the Oklahoma City Thunder, big rebound totals haven't been that common for him of late.
Over his last six games, Adams has snared 11-plus boards just two times, going for 6 or fewer rebounds twice in that span.
That huge rebound total last time out came against an OKC team allowing 19.7 rebounds per game to centers over their last seven games, which is the second-most. Today, Adams is taking on the Indiana Pacers, a team giving up 15.0 rebounds per night to the center position.
Our algorithm has Adams grabbing 9.7 rebounds, and I'll be on the under at this line.