3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Monday 3/7/22

Player props are a fun way to bet the NBA without having to worry about the zaniness that last-minute injuries can cause in terms of a spread or a game total.

Here, we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools and simulations to help make some cash.

For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Note: Betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Bam Adebayo Under 31.5 Points and Rebounds (-108)

Sometimes, with player props, it's best to let the spread or the total do the work.

It's the former in Miami tonight. The Heat are 15-point home favorites hosting Houston on Monday. The Rockets are unrested after an emotional win at home Sunday against Memphis. It's not as if Houston isn't used to getting blown out; their point differential (-591) is the worst in the NBA.

For that reason, I like attacking the angle of "under" for most of Bam Adebayo's player props tonight. Jimmy Butler would be in this group if he hasn't been so inexplicably awful that his props are at low marks entering this one.

Adebayo is projected by numberFire for 19.8 points and 11.0 rebounds as of this moment. Curiously, that's in 33.87 projected minutes. Adebayo won't get that floor time in a blowout -- even if he is hyper-efficient and greatly contributes to the said blowout.

The under on this, therefore, is reasonable enough if this game stays tight despite a friendly matchup with Houston. If it is a blowout, Adebayo should sail under this mark.

Russell Westbrook Over 7.5 Rebounds (+114)

It's probably best to avoid any Lakers' prop bets that involve balls going in the basket at the moment, but Russell Westbrook can contribute in other ways.

124 of the Lakers' last 144 minutes of game action have been played without a center. That's forced others to pick up the slack on the glass, and Westbrook has done his part. In a larger sample, Westbrook has contributed 8.21 rebounds per 36 minutes with Anthony Davis off the floor this season.

The Spurs are about as good of a matchup as a rebounding guard like Russ will find. They allow the second-most rebounds per game to point guards (7.1) in the NBA.

As a result, Westbrook is projected for a gaudy 8.2 rebounds in this high-totaled shootout in San Antonio. The +114 odds here imply just a 46.7% chance that "Brodie" can snag eight or more boards. I'll take the over.

De'Aaron Fox Over 1.5 Three-Point Makes (+112)

The Knicks are a weird target for three-point props.

They play at the fourth-slowest pace in the NBA, and that reduces overall possessions in general. However, they allow the fifth-most three-point tries (37.4) per contest. In the aggregate, that's what matters above all.

The three isn't De'Aaron Fox's forté, but he takes enough to back the over on just 47.2% implied odds he cans multiple threes as he did just last game. Fox has hit at least one in 13 of his last 15 games, so be prepared for a sweat to the very end at the bare minimum in this spot.

Fox has definitely been trying more since the Kings shipped out Buddy Hield and Tyrese Haliburton. He has had four attempts in every single game since the deadline.

With a 232.0-point total on deck, there's at least going to be a quality enough chance that six of them come from a pair of "Swipa" shots from outside. The +112 odds seem low considering New York's poor perimeter defense.