3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 3/1/22
Player props are a fun way to bet the NBA without having to worry about the zaniness that last-minute injuries can cause in terms of a spread or a game total.
Here, we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools and simulations to help make some cash.
For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Note: Betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Clint Capela Under 9.5 Points (-116)
Clint Capela has scored 10-plus points just twice across his last 11 games, and he's got a difficult matchup tonight.
The Atlanta Hawks are taking on the Boston Celtics. Boston has limited the center position to the second-fewest points per game over the last 15 games (17.6).
Capela has totaled eight, six and nine points in three games against the Celtics this season.
Our model has Capela scoring 9.3 points in this one, and I lean toward the under on his points prop.
Reggie Jackson Over 20.5 Points (+102)
Reggie Jackson can crush in a matchup with the Houston Rockets.
Over the last 15 games, Houston is permitting the seventh-most points per game to floor generals (24.6). They also sport the second-worst defensive rating over the last five games while surrendering the ninth-highest three-point attempt rate.
Jackson netted 26 points against these same Rockets in the Los Angeles Clippers' last game, and our algorithm forecasts him to score 21.5 points today. With the over at +102, this is a great prop to zero in on.
LeBron James Under 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (-130)
LeBron James is facing the Dallas Mavericks, a team that is good defensively and limits three-point tries. That has me on the under on James' made threes prop.
The Mavs have allowed a 36.3% three-point attempt rate over the past 15 games, which is the fifth-lowest clip in the league. They're also eighth in defensive rating in that time as well as fifth in defensive rating for the campaign.
LeBron has hit a combined three triples across his past two games, and our projections have him making 2.3 treys against Dallas.