NBA

3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 1/28/22

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.

Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools and simulations to help make money betting player props.

For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Note: Betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Jrue Holiday Under 16.5 Points (-106)

Jrue Holiday and the Milwaukee Bucks are taking on a New York Knicks squad that is tough on point guards.

For the year, the Knicks are limiting point guards to 23.1 points per game, the fifth-fewest.

In addition to that, this is a huge pace-down spot for the Bucks. Milwaukee sits 7th in pace while New York is 29th. And the Knicks are a pretty solid defense overall as they rank 10th in defensive efficiency.

Holiday has gone for 17-plus points only once in his last five games, and we project him to be under that mark again, with our model pegging him to score 16.2 points.

Anfernee Simons Over 3.5 Made Three-Pointers (+124)

Anfernee Simons is rolling right now.

Simons has hit at least four triples in each of his last five games. He's done it in 8 of his last 12 games. He's averaging 10.2 three-point attempts per night across his last five.

The Portland Trail Blazers' matchup is a great one for Simons to stay hot as he's facing the Houston Rockets. Houston permits a three-point attempt rate of 42.1%, the eighth-highest. Just two games ago, Simons faced a Minnesota Timberwolves team that also surrenders a lot of three-point attempts (43.7% three-point attempt rate), and he went 4 for 13 from deep in that matchup.

Our algorithm has Simons making 3.7 three-pointers on 9.0 attempts. With the over priced at +124, compared to -160 on the under, I like rolling the dice on Simons to make at least four trifectas.

Zach LaVine Under 3.5 Made Three-Pointers (-160)

On the opposite end of the three-point spectrum, Zach LaVine is facing a San Antonio Spurs team that doesn't give up many shots from beyond the arc.

For the campaign, San Antonio is allowing just a 36.1% three-point attempt rate, the third-lowest.

LaVine hasn't made four-plus threes in a game in any of his last seven outings, although one of those was an injury-shortened appearance. In two games since coming back from said injury, LaVine has gone 3 for 10 and 1 for 5 from three.

Our projections have LaVine netting 2.9 triples today on 7.1 attempts. Even though we have to take on a -160 price, the under is the way to go.