NBA

3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 1/25/22

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.

Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools and simulations to help make money betting player props.

For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Note: Betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Spencer Dinwiddie Over 12.5 Points (-118)

Spencer Dinwiddie is taking on a Los Angeles Clippers squad that has allowed 28.0 points per game to point guards, the most in the league.

That's a great starting point for why you should be into the over on Dinwiddie's points prop.

There are more reasons.

The Clips (6th in pace) are a big-time pace-up matchup for the Washington Wizards (22nd). Dinwiddie is averaging 13.5 points per game for the campaign, and he's scored at least 13 in 8 of his last 12 games. He's taken double-digit shots in six of his last seven outings.

Our model projects him to net 13.3 points in this one.

Jayson Tatum Under 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (-108)

The Sacramento Kings are not a good defensive team. One thing they do well, though, is limit three-point tries. Sacramento gives up a 36.9% three-point attempt rate, the fifth-lowest.

Jayson Tatum is coming off a game in which he went a staggering 9 of 14 from deep, so I get it if you're not pumped to back the under on his made threes prop.

But prior to that scorching-hot night, Tatum had hit two or fewer threes in five straight games, including three consecutive contests of zero made triples.

On average, the Kings permit 2.4 made three-pointers per game to power forwards on 6.3 attempts.

I like taking the under here.

Jakob Poeltl Under 14.5 Points (-116)

The San Antonio Spurs-Houston Rockets game should be a shootout. It's got a 234.0-point total. Houston is last in defensive efficiency and first in pace. San Antonio is 19th in defensive efficiency and 7th in pace.

Despite that, I am siding with the under on Jakob Poeltl's points prop.

While Poeltl has been rolling of late, scoring at least 15 points in three of his last four games, he's also been shooting the ball better than usual in that span. Over the past four, he's making 65.3% of his shots, compared to his season-long shooting percentage of 59.8%. He's due to regress a bit.

Our projections have Poeltl scoring 12.8 points tonight, making this a good prop to target.