On January 9th, the Boston Celtics sent big man Brandan Wright to the Phoenix Suns in exchange for the Minnesota Timberwolves’ 2015 first round draft pick that Phoenix owned. The pick is protected in 2015 and 2016 if it falls between first and 12th in the draft. It then becomes ’16 and ’17 second-round picks.

The most likely scenario is that Boston ends up with the two second-rounders considering how poorly Minnesota has played. The Timberwolves, per our metrics, are just the 28th-best team in the league, and their LeBron James (7.2) and LaMarcus Aldridge (7.7).

After missing the playoffs by just one game last year, the Phoenix Suns are again right in the hunt this season. Currently, they hold the 8th seed and are two games ahead of the New Orleans Pelicans and Oklahoma City Thunder. Based on numberFire projections, Wright adds only 0.5 wins to the Suns, assuming he splits time at center with Alex Len. Although that amount seems insignificant, numberFire algorithms project Phoenix right on the bubble of the 8th seed, so just a small increase in projected wins actually increases Phoenix’s playoff odds by about 5%. Phoenix currently has a 51.4% chance to make playoffs, per our metrics.

If Brandan Wright can get comfortable with the Suns and put up similar numbers to how he played in Dallas the past two seasons, expect to see Phoenix in the 2015 NBA Playoffs.