3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 1/18/22
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools and simulations to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Note: Betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Julius Randle Under 20.5 Points (-116)
That's because Minnesota is a pretty difficult matchup for him. While the T-Wolves play fast, they're also 10th in defensive efficiency and have limited the power forward position to 19.2 points per game, the 4th-fewest.
Our algorithm projects Randle to score 19.0 points in this one.
Stephen Curry Over 25.5 Points (-114)
While blowout risk is a very legit worry when taking the over on Stephen Curry's points prop, that's the side our model is on.
Curry is averaging 26.3 points per game for the campaign, and he's been much better at home this year, netting 27.5 points per game in the split and shooting 40.5% from deep -- compared to clips of 24.8 points and 35.7% three-point shooting on the road.
The Pistons are 22nd in defensive efficiency, and Steph has started to emerge from his shooting slump, nailing 4 of 10 three-point tries last time out. He's also rested after sitting in Golden State's last game.
We project Curry to score 26.5 points.
Cade Cunningham Over 16.5 Points (-106)
Sticking with the Detroit-Golden State clash, our numbers point to value on another points prop.
The Warriors play at the league's fastest pace, so this is a big pace-up spot for the Pistons, who rank 22nd in pace.
Cunningham is playing well, scoring at least 18 points in three of his last four games, including an outburst of 29 points in a tough matchup with the Utah Jazz. In that four-game span, the rookie leads the Pistons with a 25.8% usage rate.
Our projections peg Cunningham to score 18.4 points, so this is a great prop to zero in on.