3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 1/11/22
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools and simulations to help make money betting player props.
For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Note: Betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Nikola Jokic Under 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (-113)
As great as Nikola Jokic has been playing lately, he's doing nearly all of his damage from inside the arc.
Across the last 10 games, Jokic has made more than one triple in only one outing. He's taking just 3.6 three-point tries per game over his past five contests.
On top of that, the Denver Nuggets are up against a Los Angeles Clippers team that doesn't give up many three-point shots, surrendering a three-point attempt rate of just 38.0%, the seventh-lowest in the league.
All in all, our model projects Jokic to hit 1.3 three-pointers. With this bet at -113 on each side, the under is the way to go.
Josh Hart Over 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (+168)
Josh Hart's matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a great one for made threes. Minnesota is allowing a three-point attempt rate of 43.8%, the fourth-highest, and the Wolves (5th in pace) are a big pace-up matchup for the New Orleans Pelicans (20th).
Hart has jacked up at least five three-pointers in five of his last six games, and he's sunk multiple trifectas in three of those six outings.
The matchup should help Hart hit at least two three-pointers tonight. Our projections have him making 1.6 threes, just a touch over this line, but with the over at +168, that's the side to be on.
Bradley Beal Over 24.5 Points (-108)
OKC has been getting shredded all year by opposing two-guards, giving up 22.7 points per game to the position, the fifth-most.
Prior to a 20-point game last time out, Beal had been on a major heater -- producing at least 26 points in eight straight. He should get back to his high-scoring ways in this one.
We project Beal for 27.0 points, making this an excellent prop bet to zero in on.