3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 1/4/22
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Duane Washington Over 1.5 Three-Pointers (-118)
Duane Washington Jr. has been getting a lot of run for the short-handed Indiana Pacers, logging 29.8 and 34.4 minutes over his last two games. The extended burn should continue tonight, as we project him for 30.3 minutes with several Indiana players -- including Malcolm Brogdon and Caris LeVert -- still out.
Washington has shown he's willing to let it fly, attempting a total of 15 treys over his past two outings. He's made four of them -- all of which came in Indiana's last game. He should get plenty of looks versus a New York Knicks squad that is surrendering the sixth-highest three-point attempt rate (42.9%).
We project Washington to make 1.9 triples on 6.0 tries.
Ja Morant Under 26.5 Points (+100)
Ja Morant is riding a heater, pouring in 36, 30, 41 and 33 points in his last four games. Geesh.
He's been asked to step up with the Memphis Grizzlies missing some guys, and he's done just that, amassing a 34.0% usage rate over those last four games.
It's hard to bet against him right now, but he can't stay this hot.
Over those past four contests, Morant is shooting 57.6% overall and hitting 73.7% of his threes. For the year, he's making 49.2% from the field, including 40.4% from deep. Dude has to slow down at some point, and it may happen tonight against the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Cleveland -- albeit not at full-strength right now -- is giving up just 23.1 points per game to point guards, which is tied for the fourth-fewest, and they play at the league's ninth-slowest pace.
Our model forecasts Morant to produce 26.1 points, which is right at this line, but I like siding with the under.
Keldon Johnson Under 15.5 Points (-106)
On top of that, the Toronto Raptors (seventh-slowest) are a huge pace-down spot for the Spurs (fourth-fastest).
Johnson has scored 12, 6 and 13 points over his past three games, and our algorithm projects him for 15.2 in this one.