NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Thursday 9/10/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measure a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money betting everyday player props.
For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Anthony Davis, Over 12.5 Rebounds (+106)
In three games versus the Rockets this series, Anthony Davis has recorded 10, 14, and 15 rebounds. He's played 36, 37, and 39 minutes in the three outings and is the perfect mismatch to terrorize the Rockets. The Lakers' star has scored 28.3 points in the series and double-doubled in five-straight games versus the Rockets.
In all five meetings with Houston this season, Davis has recorded 10 or more rebounds in each and grabbed 13 or more in three of them, with one game of 12. Since Game 1 LA has out-boarded Houston by 19 total rebounds. Davis has the most total rebounds in the series (39), and we've seen Rockets' center P.J. Tucker get in foul trouble thanks to the mismatch with four fouls in three straight games.
Versus Houston on the season, Davis is averaging 12.8 rebounds per game, and he's at 13.0 in this series. For +106, Davis' odds here are a bargain versus Houston's small-ball lineup.
James Harden, Over 31.5 Points (-110)
James Harden has led the Rockets in scoring for all three games this series and in nine out of the last 10. He's averaging 32.0 points per game in the series. In six meetings with the Lakers this campaign, he's scored at least 30 points four times. Harden's scored 34, 14, 39, 36, 27, and 34 points -- in that order. That's 30.6 points per game, and given the fact Houston is down 2-1, Harden should continue to have the green light to chuck.
numberFire's model predicts him to lead the game in scoring today with 31.3 points tonight in 39.7 minutes. Harden played 38 and 39 minutes in his last two games, and if he surpasses 40 minutes, he's a near lock to score 32-plus. When he's played 40 or more minutes this season, including the postseason, Harden has averaged 38.1 points per game across 15 contests.