NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 9/8/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measure a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money betting everyday player props.
For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Khris Middleton, Over 25.5 Points (-108)
Khris Middleton has averaged 25.0 points in seven meetings versus the Miami Heat this season, including the playoffs. Looking at solely this series, he's posting 26.2 points over four games for the Milwaukee Bucks. Middleton may be without Giannis Antetokounmpo for Game 5, which would make this over is even more enticing.
He's already scored at least 26 points in Games 1 and 4, and in the regular season, he's scored 12, 25, and 33 points versus Miami. Middleton has played at least 33 minutes in seven of eight total meetings with Miami this season, and the only game he didn't surpass 30 minutes was the one in which he scored 12 points.
When Middleton plays 30-plus minutes versus Miami this season, he averages 27.1 points per game. Middleton played 48 minutes in the previous overtime game, and he's going to get all the run he can handle in this one, as well. I like the chances for the over here, even if Giannis plays.
Rajon Rondo, Over 2.5 Rebounds (-150)
Rajon Rondo returned to the Los Angeles Lakers' lineup in Games 1 and 2, sliding right back in as if he never missed a minute. The point guard had two solid all-around performances, totaling three boards in each game and registering 13 total assists across the two outings.
I want to focus on the boards. Even at -150, this is still a fair price to grab his rebound total.
Rondo has played 25 and 29 minutes in his two games back for the Lakers, and when he's played between 20 and 29 minutes on the season, he's averaged 3.5 rebounds. Rondo has only played two games above 30 minutes all season, and in those contests, he averaged a triple double of 17.5 points, 10.5 rebounds, and 10.0 assists. The Houston Rockets allow the sixth-most rebounds per game to point guards (6.61) and the 11th-most to shooting guards (6.52) on the season.
Rondo's play in 29 minutes of action in Game 2 likely left Lakers fans and teammates wanting more Rondo, but even if his minutes don't increase, he can get to the over here.