3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 8/26/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measure a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money betting everyday player props.
For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Brook Lopez, Over 13.5 Points (-114)
Brook Lopez has quietly been very productive, scoring double-digits in 10-of-11 games for the Bucks since entering the bubble. Lopez has averaged 12.8 points per game in this series and 20.4 in seven regular-season games in the bubble. He's averaging 10 shot attempts through four games, and he's connected on two or more triples in two of his last three games.
Lopez scored 14 or more in two of the last three postseason games versus Orlando, and in the regular season, he scored 9, 10, and 23 points versus them. In the bubble overall, Lopez has scored 14 or more eight of 11 total games. With the potential for a blowout or limited minutes to Nikola Vucevic, Lopez is another trustworthy candidate to go over his point total. He's played at least 30 minutes in all four games, and numberFire's model predicts Lopez to record 13.3 points in 29 minutes.
Eric Bledsoe, Under 22.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-111)
One of the Bucks' main issues right now is the point guard position. Eric Bledsoe posted a -16 real-plus minus for the Bucks in Game 4, the only starter to post a negative rpm and two on the team, which is even worse considering they won by 15. He barely saw the floor the second half, and George Hill, on the other hand, played 23 minutes, one less than Bledsoe.
Hill recorded a team-high +30 rpm and had nine points, six assists, and two rebounds in Game 4, his second-best performance of the series while Bledsoe earned a seat on the bench most of the second-half. Bledsoe recorded six points, five rebounds, and five assists in Game 4, and in the series, he's posting 12.0 points, 6.3 assists, and 3.8 rebounds per game. Bledsoe has gone under his 22.5 RPA total in three of four postseason games versus the Magic and he's yet to play more than 28 minutes. The Bucks will more than likely blow out the Magic with a 14-point spread so Bledsoe could see his series average of 26 minutes or fewer.
LeBron James, Under 46.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-113)
In the Blazers versus Lakers series, LeBron James has averaged a triple-double of 25.3 points, 10.3 assists, and 10.3 rebounds over four games. James triple-doubled once (Game 1), and double-doubled in two of the other three games this series, and has shown at 35-years-old, he's still dominant. In the last two games, he's made 61% or more of his shots, including 10-of-12 (83.3%) from the field in Game 4's blowout. LeBron has gone under this total two out of four postseason games versus Portland, including Game 4's 30 points, 10 assists, and six rebound effort (46 RPA).
When LeBron has been up 3-1 in any postseason series over 12 career games, minus one, he left early with an injury, he's averaged 27.2 points, 9.1 rebounds, and 7.1 assists in those contests per Basketball-Reference. When LeBron's played 30-39 minutes this season, he's averaged 25.4 points, 10.0 assists, and 8.1 rebounds; all those numbers still add up to an under here. He's played fewer than 30 minutes in two of his last three games, and if the Lakers blow the Blazers out which is likely without Damian Lillard, he's likely to play less than 30 again. numberFire's model predicts King James to total 25.5 points, 9.8 assists, and 7.6 rebounds in 36 minutes, hitting the under.
