5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on 2/24/20
One of the keys to finding success in daily fantasy basketball is uncovering potential value plays. If you're looking to roster a stud player or two, you need to consider squeezing in one of these lower-priced options into your lineup.
Let's take a look at five players who can help fill in the gaps in your lineup.
Al Horford, PF, Philadelphia 76ers ($4,900)
The Philadelphia 76ers have a few injuries tonight, and that should open up playing time and usage for a number of players.
Ben Simmons is OUT for tonight's game while Tobias Harris is listed as DOUBTFUL, taking two starters out of their lineup. This should present the 76ers as a chalky team tonight not only due to their value, but also the matchup against the Atlanta Hawks is worth attacking. This game has an over/under set at 229 points, with the 76ers playing up in pace -- they are 18th, the Hawks are 4th in the league. There are a lot of moving parts for this game, but look at Al Horford to be one of the more consistent options for the 76ers.
When Simmons and Harris are off the court this season, Horford sees a 4.6% increase in usage -- boosting him to 22.4% -- and now producing 0.99 FanDuel points per minute. This is truly a great matchup for Hordford since the Hawks are allowing 48.7 FanDuel points per game to opposing power forwards -- dead last in the league.
Shake Milton, PG, Philadelphia 76ers ($4,400)
Another Philly player to look at tonight is Shake Milton.
Milton has been playing a consistent role for the 76ers in the past few weeks, and that should continue tonight. He was in the starting lineup when Josh Richardson was out due to an injury and should stay in that role with Ben Simmons out tonight. As noted above, this is a pace-up spot for the 76ers, and we have a high over/under set at 229 points. All of this is good for Milton, but let's not get ahead of ourselves -- you need to Shake it before you bake it.
If you adjust for then both Simmons and Harris are off the court, Milton has a 5.6% increase in offensive usage -- tied for highest on the team -- along with producing an additional 0.17 FanDuel points per minute, putting him up at 0.92 per minute. This should make him one of the chalkier options tonight, given the expanded role and matchup.
Jae Crowder, SF, Miami Heat ($4,800)
Jae Crowder played off the bench for the Heat in their most recent game and was able to pile up 34.8 FanDuel points in 26 minutes against the Cleveland Cavaliers. The teams are doing a home-and-home series and face-off again tonight, where the over/under is set at 222 points. We don't want to be chasing the production Crowder posted in that game -- since they are playing again tonight --rather, look to see if this actually a good spot overall. Besides Butler being out, Tyler Herro and Meyers Leonard are both still out, and that tightens up their rotation of players.
Crowder recently joined the Heat -- so we don't have a large sample size to work with -- but when those players are off the court, Crowder is holding a 16.5% usage rate and producing 1.33 FanDuel points per minute. The Cavaliers come into this game allowing 43.4 FanDuel points per game to opposing small forwards -- the second-most in the league -- making this a great spot for Crowder tonight.
Josh Jackson, SF, Memphis Grizzlies ($3,500)
Another injury situation to monitor today surrounds the Memphis Grizzlies.
Memphis announced the other day that Jaren Jackson Jr. is going to be out for a few weeks with a knee injury, removing a key part of their starting lineup. We should see Brandon Clarke enter the starting lineup, but we should also see a decent role for Josh Jackson off the bench. Jackson is the absolute minimum salary tonight and opens up the possibility of going with a stars and scrubs lineup approach. Paying up for Joel Embiid, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Kawhi Leonard is doable tonight if you take the massive savings Jackson brings.
Jackson is on the road to take on the Los Angeles Clippers, where the over/under is set at a juicy 233 points and features both teams in the top-eight for fastest pace this season.
Moritz Wagner, C, Washington Wizards ($3,900)
Bryant and the Washington Wizards are on the second night of a back-to-back, and he will be out due to rest. This means the Wizards will have only Ian Mahinmi and Moritz Wagner as true centers, meaning he should be in line for plenty of minutes tonight -- in what should be the fantasy game of the night. The Wizards are hosting the Milwaukee Bucks, with an over/under sitting at 240 points -- the highest on the slate. On top of that, we have both teams in the top six for the fastest-paced teams this season, giving us the best fantasy environment of the night.
Wagner has been productive when Bryant is off the court this season, posting 1.07 FanDuel points per minute on a 20.3% usage rate. Wagner sits just under $4K tonight, and it's not hard to imagine he plays more than 20 minutes, posting over 20 FanDuel points in the process.