5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on 2/7/20
One of the keys to finding success in daily fantasy basketball is uncovering potential value plays. If you're looking to roster a stud player or two, you need to consider squeezing in one of these lower-priced options into your lineup.
Let's take a look at five players who can help fill in the gaps in your lineup.
Jalen Brunson, PG, Dallas Mavericks ($5,400)
Currently, Kristaps Porzingis is listed as questionable for tonight's game after suffering a broken nose in their most recent contest. NBA players have been known to don the Rip Hamilton mask and play through it. Even if Porzingis is in the lineup, however, we should still be looking toward Jalen Brunson as a very solid play. He is slightly more expensive than a normal value play, but the matchup he has is great, and there is plenty of usage to go around with Luka Doncic still out.
The Wizards are allowing 49.9 FanDuel points per game to opposing point guards this season -- the fourth-most in the league -- putting Brunson in a spot to produce with his 19.8% usage rate in the Mavericks' current starting lineup. This is a large pace-up spot for Dallas, as they are 23rd in pace this season, while the Wizards are sitting 6th. With Brunson producing 0.93 FanDuel points per minute right now, he could easily push towards 30-plus FanDuel points in this one, as he has played 27 or more minutes in each of his last three games.
Jeremy Lamb, SG, Indiana Pacers ($4,100)
The Indiana Pacers have a few injury situations to keep track of tonight.
First off, the Pacers have Victor Oladipo listed as questionable for this game due to a potential rest day. He is coming back from his injury and is not ready to play big minutes yet. Then, they have T.J. Warren listed as questionable since he is dealing with a concussion. If one or both of those players are out, we should see plenty of minutes for Jeremy Lamb, possibly even a spot in the starting lineup.
The Pacers are taking on the Toronto Raptors, in a rematch from Wednesday night -- a game Toronto won 119-118. The Raptors are allowing 41.5 FanDuel points per game to shooting guards this season -- 14th in the league -- presenting a middle-of-the-road matchup for Lamb. We have an over/under set at a modest 218.0 points, but the spread is only 1.0 point. Hopefully, this means another close game as we saw the other day, with starters playing big minutes.
Derrick Jones, SF, Miami Heat ($5,200)
After some trades and a few injuries, the Miami Heat lineup is a big question mark tonight.
The Heat have Jimmy Butler listed as doubtful while Tyler Herro and Meyers Leonard are out. They traded for Andre Iguodala, Solomon Hill, and Jae Crowder yesterday, but their availability for this game is yet to be announced. This means the Heat could be running with a very tight rotation of players tonight, which could lead to big minutes for Derrick Jones Jr.. When Butler left their most recent game with this injury, Jones came into the game and played 15:03 minutes of the remaining 16.
This is a strong indication that Jones would be in a spot for plenty of run and production tonight if Butler is out, particularly with Miami operating with a potentially shortened bench. Jones and the Heat are on the road to take on the Kings. This game carries a 219.5-point over/under, and the Kings are allowing the eighth-most (41.1) FanDuel points per game to small forwards this season. That could be reachable tonight for Jones, as he is posting 1.03 FanDuel points per minute when Butler and the others are off the court this season.
Brad Wanamaker, PG, Boston Celtics ($3,900)
The Boston Celtics have a mess of an injury situation tonight.
I'll be honest: I had this whole section done for Brad Wanamaker and then the Celtics released a big injury update, so let's break it down. Kemba Walker -- after missing the last three games -- will return tonight and be limited to around 30 minutes, per reports. Gordon Hayward and Jaylen Brown are both ruled out, and Marcus Smart is back in.
With these injuries, there should be minutes available for Wanamaker. He has played at least 25 minutes in each of his last three games, scoring 26 or more FanDuel points in two of those three. The Celtics are without two of their starters, and their starting point guard is on a minutes limit. In a very soft matchup against the Atlanta Hawks, Wanamaker is a great value play.
Eric Gordon, SF, Houston Rockets ($4,700)
Westbrook was in the lineup last night for the Rockets, and it was already announced that he will sit out tonight against the Phoenix Suns. It's always great to have this type of news early since Westbrook is a big usage player for the Rockets, and it opens up some value players for Houston. Gordon sees a 9.5 percentage point increase in usage rate when Westbrook is off the court, producing 1.05 FanDuel points per minute in the split.
With a 233-point over/under against the Suns -- and both teams in the top 10 in pace this season -- we should see a very fantasy-friendly environment in this one. We have Gordon projected for 35 minutes and forecast him to produce 26.8 FanDuel points, making him the fourth-best value option at small forward tonight (as of early Friday afternoon).