3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 2/4/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money on betting everyday player props.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Damian Lillard, Over 32.5 Points and 4.5 Made Three-Pointers
Damian Lillard has scored 30 or more points in eight straight games, averaging 45.1 points over this insane stretch. The Portland Trail Blazers travel to Denver to take on a tough Nuggets squad. Denver is ranked sixth in opponent point guards points per game (21.58) and fourth in three-pointers made per game (2.24). Those totals are daunting, but Lillard is up for the task, averaging 38.6 points in his three-road games during this stretch. He's had one 60-point game, two 50-point games, two 40-point games, and three 30-point games during this streak.
Lillard's usage rating has climbed to 36.90% over the last five games (from 30.26%) thanks to his incredible play and efficiency. He's made 53% of his field-goal attempts, 53.5% from three, and 88% of his free throws over the last eight. Lillard has nailed five or more three-pointers in seven straight games and is averaging 8.1 made triples in his last six games. He's showing no signs of cooling off. numberFire's model projects him to post 29 points, and 3.6 made three-pointers tonight. That said, I'll take the overs on both, as he's gone over 32.5 points in eight straight and over 4.5 made three-pointers in seven straight.
Giannis Antetokounmpo, Over 32.5 Points
Giannis Antetokounmpo has recorded three straight 30-point games but hasn't reached 33 points in any of his last seven games. The Greek Freak's usage rating has been climbing, and he has the highest ceiling of all forwards, and second-highest on the night to James Harden. The Milwaukee Bucks are on the road for a test versus the New Orleans Pelicans. Giannis hasn't played the Pelicans this season, but last season he scored 24 and 25 in two meetings -- though that was with Anthony Davis suited up for both games.
The Pelicans allow the seventh-most points to small forwards per game (21.55), and that number is going to inflate tonight with the reigning MVP in town. Giannis is projected to score 29.6 points in the Big Easy, but I like that number to be higher in an anticipated fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Bucks lead the league with 120 points per game and in pace factor (107.0), while the Pelicans rank sixth in points per game (115.1), and fourth in pace (104.8). The breaking point in this matchup is New Orleans allowing 52.6 points in the paint per game, ranking 28th, and giving Giannis a favorable matchup with 59.7% of his points per game coming in the paint.