5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on 1/24/20
One of the keys to finding success in daily fantasy basketball is uncovering potential value plays. If you're looking to roster a stud player or two, you need to consider squeezing in one of these lower-priced options into your lineup.
Let's take a look at three players who can help fill in the gaps in your lineup.
T.J. McConnell, PG, Indiana Pacers ($4,200)
In the Pacers win over the Phoenix Suns the other night, starting point guard Malcolm Brogdon was elbowed in the face and is now in the NBA's concussion protocol. This should open up even more minutes for McConnell -- who plays a strong bench role as it is -- nearly 20 minutes per game. After Brogdon went out with that injury against the Suns, McConnell played nearly the entire third quarter and was able to pile up a double-double with 10 points and 11 rebounds in 26 minutes.
When looking at the splits for the Pacers when Brogdon is off the court this season, we see McConnell holding a modest 17.3% usage rate, but producing a very solid 1.01 FanDuel points per minute. Consistent production for a cheaper player who should be in the starting lineup is something we've always looked for in NBA DFS. McConnell is taking on the Golden State Warriors, who are allowing 50.5 FanDuel points per game to opposing point guards this season -- the third-most in the league. This is also a decent pace-up spot for Indiana, as they are 25th in the league, while the Warriors are 14th. A perfect storm for a value player.
Svi Mykhaililuk, SG, Detroit Pistons ($4,400)
Value on the Detroit Pistons but inconsistent production. Can we trust that?
This player is Svi Mykhailiuk, who is generally in the starting lineup for Detroit, but has a very wide range of production. In his last 10 games, he has played a low of 24 minutes and a high of 34 minutes. That's a consistent range for a starter -- as you would assume. But, his production does not follow the same trend, as he has a low of 5 FanDuel points and a high of 35.9 FanDuel points. That inconsistency is not going anywhere near a cash game lineup, but embracing that level of variance is something to look for in tournaments. Based on a few things, the upper end of production could be coming tonight.
First off, this is a strong pace-up spot for the Pistons -- 19th in the league -- as they are taking on the Memphis Grizzlies, who are 8th in the league. The next factor going for Mykhailiuk is that the Grizzlies come into this game allowing 44.5 FanDuel points per game to shooting guards, the second-most in the league. In this last 10 game stretch, we have seen Mykhailiuk take nine or more field goal attempts six times -- giving him some nice pure scoring upside.
Jerami Grant, PF, Denver Nuggets ($5,200)
Coming off a monster 41.9 FanDuel points, Jerami Grant is in a spot to continue that production.
In 34 minutes against the Houston Rockets on Wednesday night, Grant filled up the stat sheet on his way to 41.9 FanDuel points. Strong production for a player who has been in the starting lineup with Paul Millsap out due to a knee injury. We also know that Michael Porter Jr. missed their game against the Rockets and is questionable for tonight's game against the New Orleans Pelicans. The Denver Nuggets lack options in their front-court, and that led to Grant playing a season-high 34 minutes.
If Grant is going to be seeing that level of minutes again tonight, you want all the shares you can possibly get. This game against the Pelicans has an over/under sitting at 230 points -- the second-highest on the slate -- a significant pace-up spot for the Nuggets who are 28th in the league, while the Pelicans are 2nd. New Orleans is also allowing the eighth-most -- 45.5 -- FanDuel points per game to opposing power forwards.
Dewayne Dedmon, C, Sacramento Kings ($3,900)
So far this season, Dedmon played a rotational role at center, got many DNPs with the Kings focusing on player younger players, requested a trade, and is now seeing minutes again. A crazy season but with the injuries the Kings have, they need minutes from Dedmon. Over his last three games, he has played 12,13, and 31 minutes, posting 13.2, 13.5, and 27 FanDuel points, respectively. Not the biggest role or the most production, but it's getting to a point for the Kings that he needs to play in some situations because they don't have a ton of options.
The matchup for him tonight is elite, and hopefully, he sees those 31 minutes again since he will truly be able to thrive. He is taking on the Chicago Bulls, who are dead last in the league versus centers, allowing 57.7 FanDuel points per game. A cheap price tag, a newish role in the offense, and a great matchup for Dedmon tonight.
Jeff Teague, PG, Atlanta Hawks ($4,400)
A clear value option tonight, but it depends on injury news.
That player is Jeff Teague, who got the start for the Atlanta Hawks in their most recent game with Trae Young out. This is a very clear situation for value -- if Young plays tonight, you don't look to Teague as an option. If Young is out, Teague will be the starting point guard again. Teague and the Hawks are up against the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight, who are allowing 45.2 FanDuel points per game to opposing point guards this season, 13th in the league. Not an overwhelmingly good or bad matchup tonight, but Teague should be in line for 20+ minutes again.
With a 224-point over/under, we have a good game environment for fantasy production, putting Teague in a spot to reach or exceed value tonight -- again, only if Trae Young is out.