3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 1/22/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money on betting everyday player props.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.=
Zach LaVine, Over 27.5 Points
Zach LaVine has been on a tear this season averaging 30 points over his last 11 games, scoring 30 or more in six of them. In his five home games of 2020, he's averaging 35.2 points per game and attempting 24.4 shot attempts over that span. He's connected on multiple three-pointers in all five home games, and made five or more triples in three of those games. He's also shot over 50% from the field in his last four home games and shooting 82.1% from the free-throw line on the month making 5 out of 6.1 per game.
The Minnesota Timberwolves, LaVine's former team, is 25th in points allowed per game (114.6), 25th in opponent's shot attempts per game (91.1), and 24th in opponent's shots made per game (42.1). LaVine should be licking his chops tonight, and in two games versus Minnesota last season he averaged 28 points per game. Our model projects LaVine to record 28 points tonight barely hitting the over, but backing it. I'm expecting LaVine to have his fourth-straight 30-point game tonight at home and you should too.
Rudy Gobert, Over 31.5 Points + Rebounds
Rudy Gobert and the Utah Jazz have been on a tear recently, winners in 12 of their last 13 games. Gobert has grabbed 12 or more rebounds in all but one of those games and posted double-digits in 11 of the 13 games. He's gone over 15 points in his last five games and averaged 21.6 points in those contests shooting under 72% just once. Gobert played the Golden State Warriors twice this season and he scored 8 and 15 points in both games while grabbing 15 and 19 rebounds.
The Warriors allow 48.2 points in the paint (17th), 21st in defensive net rating (111.3), and 21st in defensive rebounding (44.2) giving Gobert the chance for another 15 points and 15 rebound game. He's recorded 31 total points and rebounds or more in his last five games and fell short in the two meetings versus Golden State earlier in the season. Expect the hot Gobert to take over the interior tonight and exceed his 15.6 points and 14.3 rebound projection by our model.
Jimmy Butler, Over 20.5 Points
Jimmy Butler is listed as probable for the home match versus the Washington Wizards two nights after the Miami Heat stole an overtime victory at home from Sacramento. If he is ready to go -- at home where the Heat are a franchise-record 19-1 through 20 games -- he should be automatic on offense. Butler has gone over 20 points three times in the last seven games, but has failed to do so in his past three. The difference in this game simply put, is this is his best matchup since the New Year began - even better than his matchup with the Knicks when he scored 25.
With a couple of days of rest, Butler should be able to capitalize against the worst defensively net rated team in the league (115.4). The Wizards allow the most points (119.8), highest field goal percentage (48.8%), and the fourth most points in the paint per game (52.2). Over their last three losses, they've allowed 127.3 points per game. Welcome back, Jimmy Buckets. Our computer model predicts Butler to score 22.5 points tonight backing the over.
