3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 1/15/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money on betting everyday player props.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Bradley Beal, Over 24.5 Points
Bradley Beal returned to the Washington Wizards on Sunday in a loss to the Utah Jazz at home. Beal scored 25 points in 27 minutes of action making 11-of-25 shot attempts. Beal went 0-for-7 from deep, but that will change tonight versus a Bulls team that's struggled on defense lately and ranks the middle of the pack (18th) in opponent field goal percent (46%) and 7th in opponent three-point percentage (33.8%). In the first meeting of the season, Beal totaled 22 points and went 13-for-14 from the free throw line in the one-point loss.
Beal has made a living at the charity stripe this season with career-high per game averages in free throw makes (6.3), attempts (7.5), and percentage (83.3%). The Bulls allow the third-most free-throw attempts per game (26) across the league and the fifth-most free throw makes per game (19.8). In the 10 games Beal has attempted 10 or more free throws this season, he's averaged a whopping 31.5 points per game.
He's gone over 24.5 points in seven of his last 10 games, and our model backs Beal's over with a projected 27.4 points on 9.5 made field goals and 3.6 made three-pointers.
Russell Westbrook, Over 41.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Russell Westbrook rested last night versus the Memphis Grizzlies, and the Houston Rockets came out as losers in the first night of a back-to-back. Off three days of rest or more, Westbrook is averaging dominant numbers of 29 points, 9 rebounds, and 6 assists in two qualifying games this season, including 34 points, 5 assists, and 2 rebounds against his former Oklahoma City Thunder team. Westbrook is also averaging 28 points, 6.3 assists, and 5.0 rebounds in his last three games.
Portland ranks 29th in opponent rebounding (48.3), 26th in field goal attempts per game (92), and 12th in opponent assists per game (23.6). All categories that benefit Westbrook tonight in achieving his seventh triple-double of the season and second versus Portland. He recorded 28 points, 13 rebounds, and 10 assists versus Portland in the first meeting, hitting the over easily.
Westbrook is projected to record 24.2 points, 7.7 assists, and 7.5 rebounds in his first game since Saturday and fourth since December 31st. He's had plenty of rest to start off 2020, and the Rockets can't beat teams with losing records without him in the lineup. I'm expecting the dog mentality to come out of Westbrook tonight to avoid two straight losses on the back-to-back trip.
Kemba Walker, Over 21.5 Points
Kemba Walker was dealing with a left thumb injury two weeks ago that forced him to miss the first three games of 2020. Walker's numbers have been affected slightly by the injury, as he's averaged 15.8 points in his four games since the New Year. And against the Detroit Pistons at home in December, Walker had his worst shooting performance of the season, scoring only two points on 0-for-6 shooting and 2-for-3 from the free throw line.
However, that was with most of the Pistons' starting lineup intact, something Detroit wishes they could get back. The Pistons are slumping, going 3-7 over their last 10 games and allowing opponent's to score 113.1 points over that stretch. Detroit remains without four starters in Boston tonight, and Walker averages much better numbers at home than on the road. He averages better marks in points (22.5), field goal percentage (45.6%), three-point percentage (40.5%), and free throw percentage (90.1%).
Our model backs Walker's point total to go over, as he's projected to record 23.3 points on 7.9 made field goals and 3.3 made three-pointers.