3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 1/10/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money on betting everyday player props.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
John Collins, Over 10.5 Rebounds
John Collins is back to double-doubling after recording 17 points and 14 rebounds versus the Rockets on Wednesday. Collins has averaged 9.0 rebounds in six road games this season, but he grabbed 10 or more in three of them. A matchup against the Wizards provides favorable numbers for Collins to hit the over. The Wizards rank last in defensive net rating (115.7), rebounding percentage (47.6%), and defensive rebounding per game (31.8), and they are bottom-five in a plethora of other categories.
The Wizards also remain without their leading rebounder, Thomas Bryant, which also aids Collins.
Our model predicts Collins to record 10.1 rebounds tonight, but I think the pace is the final factor that pushes us to the over here. Both teams are top five in pace, with Wizards ranking third (105.6) and Hawks tied for fourth (105.5). Both teams are among the worst in the league in points allowed -- the Hawks ranked 29th (117.4) with the Wizards last (120.2). If this is high-scoring game like the numbers suggest, then Collins should hit the over here.
Devin Booker, Over 27.5 Points
This matchup is an interesting one with the Phoenix Suns hosting the Orlando Magic. Suns' star Devin Booker has been hot right time as he's trying to earn his first All-Star appearance. Booker is eighth in league scoring at 26.2 points per game, and he's also at an impressive -- and career-high -- 6.5 assists per game. Booker has scored 30 or more points in seven straight contests and has shot 47% or better in all seven.
The Magic allow an NBA-best 103.4 points per game after holding their last four opponents under 100 points, but all of those came in Orlando, with only one coming against a team with a winning record (Toronto). In the Magic's last five road games, they've allowed 110.4 points per game and have held just two teams under 100 on the road since November 25th (Cavs and Pistons).
The Suns allow 115.2 points per game (26th) and rank 10th in pace (104.6), which could suggest if the pace is in the Suns' favor, this could be a high-scoring affair. That happened when the two teams met earlier this year as Orlando won, 128-114. If we get that style of contest today, Booker should be good for 28-plus points.
LeBron James, Over 8.5 Rebounds
This line for LeBron James' boards might move depending on the availability of Anthony Davis tonight on the road versus the Dallas Mavericks. AD is questionable, and this is the first of a road back-to-back for the Lakers as they're in Oklahoma City tomorrow. For the Mavericks, Kristaps Porzingis is ruled out for this matchup due to a lingering knee concern, and that certainly strengthens James' chances of snagging nine rebounds.
Either way, LBJ has been dominant rebounding on the road over the last month and should keep that up tonight. James averaged 10.1 rebounds in six games on the road in December, going over eight rebounds in five of them and grabbing seven boards in the lone game he did not. Over his last 13 games, he's recorded at least eight rebounds in nine of them. The Mavericks are fourth in rebounds per game (47.4), with Luka Doncic (9.7) the only Mavs' player available tonight who averages more than 5.5 rebounds per game.
I love James' over here if AD sits.