3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 1/7/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money on betting everyday player props.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Devin Booker, Over 27.5 Points and Over 1.5 Made Threes
Devin Booker has been on fire lately, and if you haven't been playing him in DFS lineups or betting his over on points - then you've been missing out. Against the Sacramento Kings at home tonight, Booker is likely to record his seventh-straight 30-point game for the Suns. In his last two games, Booker has scored 40 in a loss to the Grizzlies and 38 points in a win over the Knicks. Booker has attempted 19 shots or more in each of his last six games, as well as double-digit free throw attempts in three of those six. He's getting a good quantity of shots from the field while also taking quality mid-range shots, though he's continued to struggle from beyond the three-point arc.
Booker is shooting 6 for 37 (16.2%) from deep over the course of 10 games, down from 35.9% on the full season. Positive regression could be coming. The Kings do hold their opponents to 35.7% (12th-best) from three on the season, but they are also 12th in three-point attempt rate allowed -- a better measure of three-point defense. Further, the Kings are playing the second night of a back to back, and they may hope they that they got enough rest to keep Booker from his 34.8 points per game average over the last six games, but I don't see it happening. Enough signs point to Booker hitting the over and doing damage from deep.
Andrew Wiggins, Over 22.5 Points
After missing four games due to an illness, Wiggins returned to the Timberwolves lineup on Sunday and recorded 15 points, 7 rebounds, and 4 assists in 31 minutes. Prior to the illness, Wiggins had a stretch of eight games where he recorded more than 20 points six times. With Karl-Anthony Towns questionable for tonight's game against the Memphis Grizzlies, Wiggins could be the team's top-scoring option once again.
This should be an uptempo game, with both Memphis and Minnesota ranking inside the top-seven in pace factor -- which should allow Wiggins to take plenty of shots. The Grizzlies are 25th in defensive rating, and Wiggins has the third-best matchup amongst all guards tonight. Our model likes the over as well, projecting Wiggins to score 22.4 points on 8.4 field goals made. In the 18 games where Wiggins has made eight or more of his attempts this season, he's scored 20 or more points in 17 of them.