3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 12/18/19
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money on betting everyday player props.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Kristaps Porzingis, Over 21.5 Points
Kristaps Porzingis has taken over Dallas now that Luka Doncic is out. The Mavs put an end to the Milwaukee Bucks 18-game winning streak last game and Porzingis scored 26 points and grabbed 12 rebounds in the win. The win was shocking for most fans, experts and I'm sure teams, figuring the Bucks (favored by 10) would blow the Mavs out. Moving forward Porzingis will take over as the main beneficiary for shot attempts, rebounds, and touches overall.
Porzingis has attempted 19.3 shots over the past three games compared to his 15.3 on the season. He's scored 20 or more in three-straight games and recorded 22 or more in his past two. On a combined 40 shots in the last two games, he made 40-percent of them. If he's knocking down 40-percent of 19.3 shots that's 7.2 field goals made (14 points), so in addition, all he will need is a pair of triples and free throws which he's done in two games without Doncic to reach 22 points.
Kemba Walker, Over 22.5 Points
Kemba Walker exploded for 44 points in a loss to the Pacers and followed that performance up with a 29-point loss to the 76ers. He's scored 95 points over his past three games (31.6 ppg) and will face the Mavericks without Doncic to stop the losing streak before it gets to three games. Walker has led the Celtics in scoring the past three games and led the C's on the road in scoring for the first time in the Pacers loss since October 26th versus the New York Knicks.
Walker averages 19.5 points on the road compared to 27.8 in Boston, but our model projects Walker with 24.7 points tonight versus the Mavericks on the road. He's had an uptick in scoring and the Mavericks are ranked 15th in defensive net rating; one spot ahead of the Houston Rockets. Walker will capitalize on any defensive errors tonight and without Doncic, I like Walker and Porzingis to duel it out and compete for leading scorer as both players are 30-point threats tonight.
Tomas Satoransky, Under 10.5 Points
Tomas Satoransky returns to Washington for his first game back in the nation's capital against his former team. Sato has started in 29 games for the Bulls and averaged 9.2 points, 5.3 assists and 3.3 rebounds over the course of the season. This will be his first career game against a former team and he didn't leave on bad terms with the Wizards so there's no motivational or hate factor here - just stats.
Sato has only scored more than 10 points in one of his last seven games with the only one coming his most recent game against the Thunder. Sato averages 10.7 points on the road compared to 8.1 at home and last year for the Wizards he averaged 8.9 points per game. Washington is second in pace factor (106.6) and Chicago 13th (103.4) so expect teams to run the floor and Sato to look for his open teammates rather than score.