3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 11/26/19
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money on betting everyday player props.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Isaiah Thomas, Over 11.5 Points
Isaiah Thomas is averaging 12.8 points per game in his first season with the Washington Wizards. Tonight, Thomas will face his team from a year ago, the Denver Nuggets. Thomas has played well alongside Bradley Beal this season. Thomas will have some extra motivation against the Nuggets, and he should be used to the altitude of Denver. Thomas scored 18 points in Boston earlier in the season, hitting his over in that game against his other former team -- so I'm backing this one.
Our model projects Thomas at 13.5 points tonight in his return to the Mile High City. I like the motivation to push his over, similar to how we took Jimmy Butler's over in Chicago -- which worked out. Let's ride with another revenge game.
Nikola Jokic, Over 11.5 Rebounds
Nikola Jokic is back to grabbing rebounds at a ridiculous rate as he's topped 10 or more in four of his last six games for the Nuggets. In his last three home games, Jokic has averaged 17.6 points per game, 13.6 rebounds, and 6.3 assists -- all three resulting in wins. They've currently won five in a row and get the red-hot Wizards offense tonight. Jokic's numbers are higher in Denver has he's averaging 17.7 points and 10.7 rebounds a game, compared to 15.2 points and 6.7 rebounds on the road. I like another double-double from the Joker tonight, and so does our model.
Our model projects Jokic at 20.6 points and 10.3 rebounds tonight backing the double-double, but falling short of the over 11.5 rebounds. I'll take him at home as his numbers have been rising lately.
Luka Doncic, Under 30.5 Points
Luka Doncic is averaging a triple-double in November. He is scoring 32.5 points per game this month to go with 10.6 rebounds and 10.8 assists. He's currently second in the league in points (30.6) and assists (9.8), first in PER (33.35), and 12th in rebounds (10.1). His largest challenge looms as the Los Angeles Clippers and their three All-Defensive Team talents are in town.
Doncis is doing it all for Dallas but is projected to score 25.6 points by our algorithms-- hitting the under. This will be his toughest defensive challenge of the season.
Vaughn Dalzell is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Vaughn Dalzell also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username vdalzell. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.