3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 11/12/19
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money on betting everyday player props.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Domantas Sabonis, Over 37.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Domantas Sabonis has been doing it all for the Indiana Pacers during their five-game winning streak. Indiana has beat Brooklyn, Cleveland, Washington, Detroit, and Orlando in that stretch and is at home to play Oklahoma City. Sabonis is averaging 19.6 points, 14.4 rebounds, and 5.6 assists during that stretch. His listed over/under for total points, rebounds, and assists is 37.5 tonight, and he's had 37 or more in all five games during this run, including or 20 or more rebounds and assists in his last four.
Our model projects Sabonis at 21.8 points, 10.8 rebounds and 3.0 assists, hitting the under on his rebounds and assists, but I'm going against our projections based off his recent play. If Steven Adams isn't able to go after missing Sunday's game and Myles Turner remains out, Sabonis should be in scoring and rebounding positions all night. Sabonis has hit 36 or more combined points, rebounds or assists in seven of eight games this season.
Julius Randle, Over 31.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Julius Randle has three-straight 20-point games and is averaging nine rebounds over the New York Knicks' last three games. Randle is averaging 15 field goal attempts over those last three and has been increasing his frequency of trips to the free throw line. Chicago fouls 22.1 times per game, and he's averaging 4.8 trips to the line. If Mitchell Robinson remains out, Randle is a 20-point, 10-board, 5-dime threat against the 27th-ranked rebounding team in the league.
Our model projects Randle with 19.2 points, 9.0 rebounds and 2.9 assists tonight versus the Bulls. Randle posted 13 points, 14 rebounds and 5 assists in the win over Chicago on October 28th and has gone over the 31.5 total in five of 10 games this season.
Lauri Markkanen, Under 24.5 Points + Rebounds
Bulls head coach Jim Boylen said Lauri Markkanen has been playing with a sore oblique the last two weeks, and his play has reflected that. Markkanen is averaging 12.4 points and 5.0 rebounds over the last five games and shooting 38.3 percent. He's only gone over this combined 24.5 line once this season and that was the first game of the season, when he scored 35 points and grabbed 17 rebounds. That was his lone double-double of the season, and he's yet to score more than 18 points since his first meeting with the Knicks on October 28th.
Markkanen has attempted 9.4 shots per game this month in five contests, compared to 15 attempts in October's five games. Our model projects Markkanen at 17.3 points and 7.8 rebounds tonight versus the Knicks making it a close call, but I think Markkanen's injury history and limited shot attempts will play a role in the under hitting tonight.