5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on 11/12/19
One of the keys to finding success in daily fantasy basketball is uncovering potential value plays. If you're looking to roster a stud player or two, you need to consider squeezing in one of these lower-priced options into your lineup.
Let's take a look at five players who can help fill in the gaps in your lineup
Cory Joseph, PG, Sacramento Kings ($3,700)
A just $200 more than the minimum salary, Joseph is set to take the starting point guard role, making him a great value play in this game with a 224.5 over/under against the Portland Trail Blazers. The Kings are 27th in the league when it comes to pace, while Portland is 7th, making this a significant pace-up spot for Sacramento. Extra touches on the ball at a very cheap price tag should allow Joseph to reach value easily, considering the over/under is very high.
The Trail Blazers are allowing 50.6 FanDuel points per game to point guards this season -- which is the seventh-worst in the league -- making this spot even better for Joseph. Given all of this, he should be one of the more popular plays on the entire slate.
Jakarr Sampson, SF, Indiana Pacers ($3,600)
The Indiana Pacers are dealing with a number of injuries, which opens up some playing time for cheaper players.
With Jeremy Lamb, Myles Turner, and Goga Bitadze all ruled out for tonight's game, the Pacers should turn to JaKarr Sampson again, as he was in the starting lineup in their most recent game. Over his last four games with -- all above 20 minutes a game -- he has been under one fantasy point per minute in three of those games, making this a bit of a thinner value play. We know that the offensive usage for the Pacers will go to Domantas Sabonis and Malcolm Brogdon ahead of anyone else on the team, which can leave Sampson lacking when it comes to production.
Still, the cheaper price tag and the matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder -- allowing 42.9 FanDuel points per game to power forwards -- make Sampson a viable value option tonight.
Dwight Howard, C, Los Angeles Lakers ($4,700)
As of now, Anthony Davis is listed as probable for this game, but as is the case with him, he could be ruled out at any minute. Even if that doesn't happen, Dwight Howard is still a good option tonight and comes in as our sixth-best value among centers. He is producing 1.11 FanDuel points per minute this season but holds a very modest 11.2% usage rate.
We want to look towards the matchup versus the Suns, who are allowing 55.4 FanDuel points per game to centers this season -- the eighth-worst in the league. He has over 20 FanDuel points four times in nine games this season, which looks likely given the favorable matchup.
Garrett Temple, SG, Brooklyn Nets ($3,600)
At $3.6K tonight, Temple jumps out as a massive value play who could be starting. Overall, this isn't the best game environment for the Nets, as they will be playing down in pace and facing a tougher defensive opponent in the Utah Jazz. If you use the 5x salary based value rule, you are looking for 18 FanDuel points from Temple tonight in order to reach that. Our projections have Temple going for 17 FanDuel points, putting him right at the threshold for what you are shooting for.
The matchup isn't great, the over/under is good at 218, and the price on Temple is great. A bit of good, a bit of bad, but a value play who doesn't have to do much in order to reach value.
Mario Hezonja, SF, Portland Trail Blazers ($4,100)
A rotating cast of players at power forward for the Portland Trail Blazers gives us plenty of value options.
In their most recent game, Portland had Mario Hezonja in the starting lineup, which could be the case tonight if the Sacramento Kings roll out a smaller lineup. In that game, Hezonja didn't do much in 23 minutes -- only posted 13.9 FanDuel points. That's not amazing production by any means, but with the highest over/under on the slate -- 224.5 points -- we should be looking here for some cheaper options. The Kings are allowing 39.3 FanDuel points per game to power forwards this season and 41.8 FanDuel points per game to small forwards. Either spot Hezonja lines up in will be a good opportunity for him tonight.