NBA

3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 11/5/19

Vaughn Dalzell  —  @VaughnDalzell Nov 5th, 2019
Anthony Davis could go nuts tonight versus the Bulls. Which prop bets should you target to take advantage of a big Davis game?

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.

While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money on betting everyday player props.

For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's statline, scoring, or even shot type.

Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Anthony Davis, Over 38.5 Points+Rebounds, Over 11.5 Rebounds and Over 26.5 Points

Anthony Davis has been on a tear this season, averaging 28.5 points and 11.5 rebounds in six games, with the Los Angeles Lakers going 5-1 and winning five straight. AD will play in his hometown of Chicago tonight against the Chicago Bulls.

The Lake Show have been led by Davis, and tonight he has a great chance to hit his overs in points and rebounds versus one of the worst rebounding and defensive teams in the league.

The Bulls are second-worst in rebounds per game this season (41.9). Our model projects Davis with 27.3 points and 11.3 rebounds against Chicago. Davis' points (26.5) and rebound (11.5) total for tonight is 38.5. That combined total is appealing if you think Davis will go for 30-plus points in his hometown. In one game against the Bulls last season, AD had 32 points and 15 rebounds, and in two games versus the Bulls in 2017-18, he averaged 30.5 points and 12.5 rebounds. Even going back to 2016-17, Davis averaged 33.0 points and 12.5 rebounds in two games against his hometown team.

Kevin Love, Over 12.5 Rebounds

Kevin Love is second in the NBA in rebounding (15.3) and leads the league in defensive rebounding (14.5) through six games. Tonight, the Boston Celtics will likely counter with Daniel Theis and Robert Williams at center and Jayson Tatum and Gordon Hayward at the forwards. Tatum and Hayward are currently out-rebounding the Celtics' bigs, with each having 7.6 rebounds per game. But what is the possibility those two will be able to stop Love's and Tristan Thompson's 26.6 boards a game? Not very high.

Love's points and rebounds total is 32.5, and that's a great bet if you think 12.5 rebounds are too high. K-Love, Andre Drummond, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Cody Zeller have been the most reliable and profitable rebounders to bet on thus far. Our computer model projects Love with 22.3 points and 10.9 rebounds tonight versus Boston.

Jimmy Butler, Over 11.5 Rebounds+Assists

Jimmy Butler has led the Heat to three straight wins since joining the lineup after the birth of his daughter. In that span, he's combined for rebound-plus-assist totals of 7, 20, and 16 in that order. He's averaging 14.7 points, 7.3 assists and 7.0 rebounds with a usage rating of 23.8%. Butler if fifth among forwards in assists, and our model projects Butler with 5.9 rebounds and 5.7 assists against the Denver Nuggets tonight.

Torrey Craig should draw the assignment of guarding Butler, giving Jimmy the worst player in the Nuggets' lineup to work on. Butler has made it a point to involve his teammates this season, and that seems like the recipe for success in Miami right now.