3 NBA Prop Bets to Target on 10/31/19
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money on betting everyday player props.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's statline, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
John Collins OVER 9.5 Rebounds (-140)
John Collins is the go-to guy for the Hawks now that Trae Young is out with an ankle injury. He scored 30 points and grabbed 7 rebounds against the Heat in their loss two days ago. Collins is a proven force and is projected by our model to be the leading rebounder in the NBA tonight at 12.5 boards. If that's the case, it'll be an easy cover for Atlanta's number-one scoring option. Collins averages 9.3 rebounds per game but hasn't grabbed double-digit rebounds in two straight games. It's a rematch against the Miami Heat at home tonight, where Collins is averaging 12.5 points and 10 rebounds per game compared to 24 points and 8.5 rebounds on the road. In the Hawks two home games, Trae Young primarily handled the bulk of the scoring, dropping team-highs of 39 and 25. Collins' over/under for points is 22.5, a number he topped 16 times in 61 games last year. He also had double-digit rebounds in 33 of 61 games last season.
Montrezl Harrell OVER 23.5 Points + Rebounds (-110)
Montrezl Harrell played a season-low 14 minutes against the Utah Jazz last night, most likely as a result of Doc Rivers saving players for the back-to-back finish versus the San Antonio Spurs. Harrell has had six or seven rebounds in all four games leading up to the Utah game. He finished yesterday's game with 10 points and 2 rebounds on 5 of 9 shooting. I expect him to play anywhere from 25-30 minutes tonight and energize the second unit when Aldridge isn't on the floor for the San Antonio Spurs. Our model projects Harrell's statline at 16.4 points and 6.6 rebounds. His over/under(s) are 16.5 points and 6.5 rebounds in 26 minutes. Before the Jazz game, Harrell averaged 20.5 points and 6.7 rebounds at a 30 minutes per game clip. I'd back Harrell's overs tonight as he will get his minutes back.
Kawhi Leonard OVER 1.5 Threes Made (-172)
Kawhi Leonard had a night off in the Clippers loss to the Utah Jazz. Our model projects Leonard to make 2.6 three-pointers tonight, giving him an easy cover for this one. A rested Kawhi is an MVP player, and he gets the start versus his former team in the San Antonio Spurs. He's going to get buckets however they come, and he's made five threes over his last two games on 11 attempts. Leonard played the Spurs twice as a member of the Toronto Raptors, averaging 23 points while going 0 for 6 from three. The Spurs have allowed eight players to hit multiple threes through three games, and there have been 97 three-point attempts total against San Antonio thus far. The Clippers average 12 three-pointers made on 30 attempts per game (60/151), the third-best percentage (39.7%) in the NBA.
Vaughn Dalzell is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice Vaughn Dalzell also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username vdalzell. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.